Tuesday, February 26, 2019

Roku Expects to Be a Billion-Dollar Company This Year

There was a lot for investors to cheer about in Roku's (NASDAQ:ROKU) fourth-quarter earnings report. The company beat expectations on both the top and bottom lines, but the company's outlook for 2019 may have investors even more excited.

Roku expects to bring in revenue of $1 billion to $1.025 billion for 2019. Wall Street analysts' consensus estimate was $985 million before Roku came out with its guidance. But investors shouldn't expect much of that to fall to Roku's bottom line. 2019 will be an investment year for Roku, and it expects to manage the company for break-even profitability as it invests.

A television displaying the Roku homescreen

Image source: Roku.

Practically all of the revenue growth will come from the platform business

In the details of the company's guidance, Roku management said it expects about two-thirds of that $1 billion in revenue to come from the platform business. Platform revenue totaled nearly $417 million in 2018, so management's commentary suggests platform sales will increase nearly $250 million this year. Roku's total revenue for 2018 was $742.5 million, so adding $250 million in platform revenue gets it pretty close to that $1 billion mark.

Roku is more focused on continuing to scale its user base and improving user monetization.

The company plans to increase active accounts in several ways. It continues to sign new partnerships for Roku TVs -- television sets where the Roku OS is tightly integrated with the hardware. More than one in four smart TVs sold in the U.S. last year were Roku TVs, according to management. Not only is Roku adding more partners, but its existing partners are managing to increase their market share. Naturally, growth in Roku TV sales will cut into player revenue growth.

Additionally, Roku is expanding The Roku Channel to more devices. At the start of the year, the company announced that the Roku mobile app will feature content from The Roku Channel. That's in addition to Samsung smart TVs and PC web browsers. Giving consumers more ways to access The Roku Channel ought to drive more active accounts as well as greater engagement among existing accounts.

Growing engagement will be key to growing user monetization. That said, monetization continues to grow faster than engagement as Roku benefits from the secular shift in ad budgets from television to digital video. Roku's video ad impressions doubled in 2018, and management expects to see a similar increase this year.

Areas of investment

While Roku expects the platform to produce significant revenue growth in 2019, it's going to invest that high-margin revenue into various areas of the business to increase the long-term potential growth of the business.

Management outlined four top areas of investment for the year in its letter to shareholders.

Advertising. Roku still has work to do to improve its ad products, targeting, and the mechanics of buying ads on its platform. Further improvements in the product ought to increase both the number of advertisers buying ads through Roku as well as the number of third-party video services using Roku's ad products to monetize their apps. The Roku Channel. The free streaming app is increasingly available to consumers with or without a Roku device. The company is adding more and more content via licenses and third-party partnerships. It's also adding the ability to subscribe to premium content channels directly from the app. Adding more licensed content will attract more engagement and ad inventory, but it comes at a cost. Roku TV. As mentioned, Roku TV partnerships are key to growing active accounts for Roku. Finding new partners and helping existing partners grow their shares is in Roku's best interest. International. Roku made a lot of progress in its international expansion in 2018. It's now available in over 20 countries. Still, Roku's user base primarily resides in the United States. Roku says its investment in international markets won't start bearing fruit until 2020. What's more, international markets don't monetize at the same level as U.S. markets for ad-supported business. So, the investment in international growth is a true long-term play.

Roku is also seemingly sacrificing gross margin on its player sales. Gross margin on player revenue was just 2.4% in the fourth quarter. Furthermore, management expects the company's overall gross margin to remain the same in 2019 as 2018 despite the fact that the vast majority of its revenue growth will come from high-margin platform revenue. That implies lower overall gross margin on its player sales. More promotions or pricing new hardware near cost ought to help attract more accounts.

Roku's platform business is spinning off enough gross profit that Roku can invest aggressively to grow that business long term. If Roku's strategy works out as planned, the company is setting itself up for stellar earnings growth next decade.

Sunday, February 24, 2019

US Ecology Inc (ECOL) Q4 2018 Earnings Conference Call Transcript

Logo of jester cap with thought bubble.

Image source: The Motley Fool.

US Ecology Inc  (NASDAQ:ECOL)Q4 2018 Earnings Conference CallFeb. 22, 2019, 10:00 a.m. ET

Contents: Prepared Remarks Questions and Answers Call Participants Prepared Remarks:

Operator

Please standby. Good day, and welcome to the Fourth Quarter 2018 US Ecology Earnings Call. Today's conference is being recorded. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. (Operator Instructions)

I would now like to turn the conference over to Eric Gerratt. Please go ahead.

Eric Gerratt -- Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer

Good morning, and thank you for joining us today.

Joining me on the call this morning are Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Jeff Feeler; Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer Simon Bell; and Executive Vice President of Sales and Marketing, Steve Welling.

Before we begin, please note that certain statements contained in this conference call that do not describe historical facts are forward-looking statements as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Since forward-looking statements include risks and uncertainties, actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied by such statements. Factors that could cause results to differ materially from those expressed include, but are not limited to, those discussed in the Company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Management cannot control or predict many factors that determine future results. Listeners should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which reflect management's views only on the date such statements are made. We undertake no obligation to revise or update any forward-looking statements or to make any other forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

For those joining by webcast, you can follow along with today's presentation. For those listening by phone, you can access today's presentation on our website at www.usecology.com.

Throughout yesterday's earnings release and our call and presentation today, we refer to adjusted EBITDA, pro forma adjusted EBITDA and adjusted earnings per share. These metrics are not determined in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles and therefore are susceptible to varying calculations. A definition, calculation and reconciliation to the financial statements of adjusted earnings per share, adjusted EBITDA and pro forma adjusted EBITDA can be found in Exhibit A of our earnings release. We believe these non-GAAP metrics are useful in evaluating our reported results and our 2018 guidance.

With that, I'd like to turn the call over to Jeff.

Jeffrey R. Feeler -- Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer and President

Thank you, Eric, and good morning, everyone.

I'll start this morning's call with a few summary comments on our fourth quarter results released yesterday before turning the call back to Eric for some additional details on our financial results. I'll then close out the call with an overview of our outlook for 2019, before opening it up for questions. Yesterday we ***Part 01******Part 02*** Yesterday we've reported a strong fourth quarter, closing out a very strong year for US Ecology in 2018. Our results yesterday were in line with our expectations, taking into consideration that our Idaho operations was down for half the quarter.

Before I jump into the quarterly results, I'd like to provide some background and cover the status of our Idaho facility, as it had an impact on our fourth quarter results and will impact our 2019 results as well.

For those following the webcast presentation, please direct your attention to Slide 5. On November 17, 2018, a team at our Idaho facility was processing what we believed to be magnesium metal fines when an unexpected reaction occurred, resulting in an explosion that destroyed our treatment facility and damaged several surrounding buildings. The explosion had no impact on our landfills. The incident resulted in non-life threatening injuries to several of our team members who were working on the site that day and we are deeply saddened to report that it also resulted in a fatality of one of our team members. This was the first fatality at one of US Ecology's operating facilities in our 66-year history and has deeply shaken every team member here.

Our first priority was helping our Idaho team out during this crisis by providing access to grief the crisis counseling and offering ongoing compensation and benefits through the subsequent facility closure. We continue to put their well-being as our top priority. We continue to work with our regulators supporting their independent investigations. Regulatory investigations are under way by the Idaho Department of Environmental Quality, the Environmental Protection Agency and the Occupational Safety and Health Administration.

Further, we have independently hired several nationally recognized experts that are in the process of conducting our own investigation in an effort to identify the root cause. Given the complexities in performing chemical sampling analysis and exposure modeling, the process is tedious and must be completed with caution. Our primary focus is making sure we fully understand what happened, so we can ensure that it never happens again. The investigative teams are making great progress and their understanding of the event continues to grow. But we are not specifying a schedule in order to protect the integrity of the investigative process.

As a result of the incident, our Idaho facility, which offers several services including landfill disposal, waste storage and transfer services and waste treatment services, has been non-operational since November 17. As of February 7th of 2019, we received a temporary authorization from the Idaho Department of Environmental Quality to resume our direct landfill services, which represents approximately half of the facility's revenue in each of the last two years. We continue to work with Idaho Department of Environmental Quality and we'll be resuming additional services the site performs in phases throughout 2019.

In the meantime, we are leveraging our geographic region and working with our customers to reroute certain waste streams to other facilities in our network ensuring no disruption of service. Our facilities are covered by insurance and we expect that most, if not all, rebuild efforts will be reimbursed through these policies. In addition, we expect recoveries for lost business and incremental costs through our business interruption policies.

In looking at the fourth quarter and 2018 results, we estimate that the financial impact of our Idaho facility being non-operational for six weeks is approximately $2 million to $3 million of adjusted EBITDA. Some of which will be recaptured in 2019 from waste that has been received previously and will be disposed in the current year as well as business interruption proceeds.

Turning to our reported fourth quarter results on Slide 6. We delivered 18% growth in revenue to $157.5 million and adjusted earnings per share of $0.65. Pro forma adjusted EBITDA was $33.4 million compared to $35.8 million in the fourth quarter of 2017. Our fourth quarter 2017 adjusted EBITDA included $2.6 million of business interruption insurance recoveries for a treatment facility damaged in a March 2017 weather event. Fourth quarter 2017 results also reflect the business rebound from the 2017 hurricanes.

Our Environmental Services Segments saw revenue growth of 11% led by strength of our base business, which increased 5% during the quarter. This strong base business growth was impressive, given the headwinds from our non-operating Idaho facility and also considering it was on top of a difficult compare period in the same quarter last year as we recovered from the 2017 hurricanes.

Our base business also showed a 1% growth in the fourth quarter on higher shipments from two multi-year cleanup projects. Our Field and Industrial Services business continued its growth momentum during the quarter, up 38% from a combination of organic growth and recently acquired operations. Organic growth was up 18% above the same quarter last year, as a result of solid execution in our transportation, small quantity generation and total waste management service lines.

As previously announced, back in November of last year, we closed the purchase of a non-hazardous industrial waste water disposal facility from Ecoserv. This facility, now called US Ecology Winnie, utilizes deep well injection technology and is strategically positioned within the reach of key markets such as Houston and Beaumont, Texas and Lake Charles, Louisiana, servicing refinery, petrochemical and environmental services customers and further strengthening our presence in the Texas industrial marketplace.

Overall, I'm pleased with the strong performance in our fourth quarter, particularly in light of Idaho non-operating for a substantial portion of the quarter. As I reflect on the full year of 2018, we saw strong execution throughout the organization. We delivered 12% revenue growth and pro forma adjusted EBITDA growth of 10%. Our team completed two strategic acquisitions that strengthened our presence and enhanced our service offering in the Gulf Coast, in the end undertook a whole list of initiatives that will position us for growth in 2019 and beyond.

Looking at the macro picture, our underlying business activity remains healthy and growing and we believe will support continued momentum in 2019.

With that, I'll turn the call back to Eric.

Eric Gerratt -- Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer

Thanks, Jeff. As shown on Slide 8, revenue for the fourth quarter of 2018 was $157.5 million, up 18% from $133.7 million in the fourth quarter last year. Revenue for the Environmental Services segment for the fourth quarter was $108.1 million compared to $97.8 million in the fourth quarter of 2017. This increase was driven by a 6% increase in treatment and disposal revenue and a 30% increase in transportation service revenue.

As Jeff mentioned, base business for the Environmental Services segment was up 5% to the fourth quarter last year and represented 78% of treatment and disposal revenue. Event Business for the Environmental Services segment increased 1% from the fourth quarter last year and represented 22% of treatment and disposal revenue. Excluding our Idaho facility, base business increased approximately 8% and event business was up approximately 7% in the fourth quarter of 2018 compared to the fourth quarter of 2017.

The field and industrial services segment delivered revenue of $49.5 million in the fourth quarter of 2018, up 38% from $35.9 million in the fourth quarter of 2017. This increase reflects our recently acquired field and industrial services group based out of Dallas and Midland, Texas. Excluding the recently acquired group, FIS revenues increased approximately 18% in the fourth quarter of 2018 compared to the same period in 2017, driven by growth in our transportation services, small quantity generation and total waste management business lines.

Slide 9 breaks down our environmental services treatment and disposal revenue for both base and event Business by (Technical Difficulty) verticals. Base Business increased primarily in the metals manufacturing, general manufacturing and Broker/TSDF industry verticals. The increase in event business was driven primarily by increases in the chemical manufacturing vertical, resulting from higher shipments from two multiyear cleanup projects and increases in our government and refining verticals. These increases were partially offset by decreases in the metals manufacturing and other industry verticals.

Turning to Slide 10. Gross profit was $45.7 million in the fourth quarter of 2018, down 4% from $47.6 million in the same quarter last year. Our environmental services segment contributed gross profit of $39.2 million in the fourth quarter of 2018 compared to $42.5 million in the same quarter last year. Treatment and disposal margins were 43% in the fourth quarter of 2018 compared to 47% in the fourth quarter of 2017. This decrease was partially attributable to our Idaho facility being non-operational for a portion of the quarter as well as $2.6 million in business interruption insurance proceeds that we recognized in the fourth quarter of 2017.

Gross profit for the industrial services segment was $6.5 million, up from $5.2 million in the fourth quarter of 2017. Gross margin was 13% in the fourth quarter, down from 14% on a less favorable service mix, primarily in our industrial services business. Gross margins were unfavorably impacted by an unexpected $500,000 ratification bonus we recorded in the fourth quarter of 2018 associated with the renewal of two five-year collective bargaining agreements.

Selling, general and administrative spending or SG&A was $25.3 million in the fourth quarter of 2018. This was up 13% from $22.3 million in the fourth quarter last year. The increase was primarily due to higher labor and incentive compensation, higher professional and consulting services and higher bad debt expenses. As a percent of revenue, SG&A declined to 16.1% from 16.7% in the fourth quarter of 2017. Operating income was $20.4 million in the fourth quarter of 2018 compared to $25.3 million in the same quarter last year, excluding the goodwill and intangible asset impairment charge we recorded in the fourth quarter of 2017.

Net interest expense for the fourth quarter was $3.2 million compared to $2.8 million in the same quarter last year. The increase was the result of higher outstanding debt levels in the fourth quarter of 2018 due to the acquisition of US Ecology Winnie location in November of 2018, as well as higher interest rates on the variable portion of our outstanding debt.

The Company's effective income tax rate for the fourth quarter of 2018 was 23%, down from 36% in the fourth quarter last year. The decrease was primarily due to tax reform passed at the end of the fourth quarter in 2017, which reduced the U.S. corporate tax rate from 35% to 21%. The decrease is also attributable to the implementation of tax planning strategies that resulted in one-time favorable adjustments to prior year income tax returns.

We reported net income of $13.7 million and diluted earnings per share of $0.62 in the fourth quarter of 2018 compared to net income of $30.8 million and diluted earnings per share of $1.40 in the fourth quarter last year. Adjusted earnings per share, which was 65% in the fourth quarter of 2018 compared to $0.73 in the fourth quarter of 2017. Pro forma adjusted EBITDA, which excludes business development expenses was $33.4 million in the fourth quarter, down 7% from $35.8 million in the fourth quarter last year.

Turning to results for the full year on Slide 11. Total revenue for 2018 was $565.9 million compared to $504 million in 2017. Revenue for the environmental services segment for 2018 was $400.7 million, up 9% compared to $366.3 million in 2017. Our field and industrial services segment delivered revenue of $165.3 million in 2018, which was up 20% compared to $137.7 million in 2017.

Net income for 2018 was $49.6 million or $2.25 per diluted share compared to $49.4 million or $2.25 per diluted share for 2017. Adjusted earnings per share was $2.32 for 2018 compared to $1.72 for 2017. Pro forma adjusted EBITDA was $125.4 million compared to $114.3 million in 2017.

Turning to Slide 12. We generated $81.5 million of cash from operations in 2018. We also invested $40.8 million in capital projects and paid out $15.8 million in dividends to our stockholders.

Our free cash flow, which we now define as net cash provided by operating activities less capital expenditures, net of insurance proceeds received from damaged property and equipment was $40.7 million. This was lower than we anticipated as as a result of increased working capital, offset by lower than projected capital expenditures. Our working capital growth was due primarily to the strong finish of the year as well as our DSO and DPOs remained fairly consistent with those of 2017.

Our balance sheet remains strong with net borrowings of $332 million as of December 31, 2018 and a leverage ratio of approximately 2.6 times.

With that, I'll turn the call back to Jeff.

Unidentified Speaker --

Thank you, Eric. I'd like to turn your attention to Slide 13 and I'll say a few words about 2019. Underlying business conditions remain strong across the various segments, service offerings and geographies in which we operate. On top of our expectations for strong organic growth, our 2018 acquisition should enable us to report another year of double-digit growth. Though our Idaho facility resumed limited operations in February, this will remain a headwind for us until full operations recommence, estimated in the back half of 2019.

Attractive growth in other areas of our business is helping offset this (inaudible) challenge and is expected to translate into as much as 16% growth in adjusted EBITDA in 2019 for a range of $135 million to $145 million. We estimate that as a result of our Idaho facility not operating at full capacity in 2019, that this impacted our guidance range by as much as $3 to $5 million. Adjusted earnings per share is expected to approximate $2.09 to $2.41 per share. Total revenue is expected to range from $583 million to $627 million.

Breaking this revenue down by segment, environmental services revenue is expected to range from $408 million to $483 million driven by a 3% to 5% increase in base business and a double-digit increase in our event business.

our event business is difficult to predict this early in the year. However, the pipeline looks strong, with a combination of already contracted projects and other projects likely to be signed in 2019. It's one of the more healthy pipelines we've seen this time of the year for some time.

Our field and industrial services segment revenue is expected to range from $175 million to $189 million. This segment continues to see strong growth opportunities in our small quantity generation services, total waste management services and industrial and emergency response services as we execute on service-based contracts awarded in 2018.

Finally, we will benefit from eight additional months of our acquired US Ecology Dallas and Midland operations in 2019. As we previously announced, we expect this acquisition to deliver $20 million of revenue and $4 million of adjusted EBITDA in 2019. The acquired US Ecology Winnie facility should also contribute approximately $9 million of adjusted EBITDA for 2019.

As in our prior guidance, we exclude foreign currency translation gains and losses, business development costs and other unusual or non-recurring transactions from our adjusted EBITDA and earnings per share guidance. Additionally, this year, we expect additional gains associated with the Idaho rebuild as we recover amounts through insurance. These gains associated with the property recoveries will also be excluded from our reported results and are not factored into our guidance.

Turning to capital expenditures. As discussed on our last earnings conference call, we expect to see our capital expenditures rise in 2019. This is primarily due to an increase in spending on our landfills in 2019 compared with additional growth opportunities for our existing and newly acquired facilities. For 2019, we estimate that our capital spending will range between $55 million and $60 million. Approximately 40% of this spending will be on new landfill construction, 25% on high ROIC capital projects and the remaining 35% on maintenance capital.

In addition, we expect we will be able to -- we will be spending approximately $8 million for the rebuild of our Idaho facility in 2019, which we expect will be recovered through insurance proceeds and therefore is not factored in the above guidance or the previously mentioned guidance on capital expenditures.

We anticipate that our free cash flow to increase to $45 million to $50 million in 2019 representing a growth of 10% to 23% despite approximately $15 million to $20 million of additional capital spend expenditures. From an income tax perspective, we anticipate that our tax rate in 2019 will approximate 27%.

Before I open up the call for questions, I'd like to conclude my prepared remarks with a few comments on what I believe makes US Ecology different. I'm often asked this question in my travels, and why we have many unique differentiators, after the events over the last few months, which have been the most difficult in my entire working career, I can now say with conviction that it's our people that are at the top of this list. Yes, I believe we have best-in-class assets that are difficult, if not impossible, to replicate, some may argue they may be irreplaceable. Our network continues to be one of the best in the industry. So this may create a mode that some investors look for in their investments. It's not really what sets US Ecology apart.

In reflecting on the tragedy of losing a beloved team member and seen the extreme emotions throughout the organization from fear to sadness to uncertainty. One differentiator consistently rose to the top during this dramatic time and that key differentiator is our people at US Ecology. I am truly humbled and amazed to have the opportunity to work alongside the caliber people that work here at US Ecology. Even in a time of tragedy, the leadership and selflessness of all the team members shown. Our team put aside titles, tenure and experience and displayed a can-do attitude doing the right thing at rolling up their sleeves to help pull the organization through this difficult period.

To be able to deliver the results we did, while taking care of our most important assets, our people, and getting our Idaho facility back on track, is a true accomplishment that will not be reflected in any financial statement, press release, analysts or industry report. It's the culture at US Ecology, this intangible asset we built together that sets us apart and enables us to attract team members that are humble, driven and demonstrate emotional intelligence.

To all the US Ecology team members listening, I want to personally thank you for everything that you do for our people, our organization, our shareholders.

And with that operator, can you please open up the call for questions?

Questions and Answers:

Operator

We will now begin the question-and-answer session. (Operator Instructions)

And we will go first to Tyler Brown with Raymond James.

Tyler Brown -- Raymond James -- Analyst

Hey, good morning, guys.

Jeffrey R. Feeler -- Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer and President

Good morning, Tyler.

Tyler Brown -- Raymond James -- Analyst

Hey. So, there seems to be quite a few moving pieces here in 2019, you definitely gave us some help in the slides and in your remarks. But just to make sure that I have it all straight, so is the kind of the idea we start with 125 (ph) we add M&A, maybe take out for Grand View and then add back for core operations, is that the basic gist of it?

Jeffrey R. Feeler -- Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer and President

Yeah, Tyler, this is Jeff. I mean, the way I look at it is I take what we delivered in 2018, add what we think that we can delever from an organic perspective and then add M&A on top of that and subtract (multiple speakers) so I look out a little bit differently.

Tyler Brown -- Raymond James -- Analyst

Okay. So, I'm a little confused with the Grand View, so is the $3 million to $5 million incremental to the $2 million to $3 million you saw in Q4, or is that not the way to look at it and it's something more like a $1 million to $2 million incremental?

Jeffrey R. Feeler -- Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer and President

Yeah, Tyler, this is Jeff again. The range of the $3 million to $5 million impact is if the incident in Grand View did not happen, the way we'd look at it is you could see that our range would be incrementally up $3 million to $5 million in that range.

Tyler Brown -- Raymond James -- Analyst

Okay. And that doesn't include business interruption recovery or does it?

Jeffrey R. Feeler -- Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer and President

it would not. Our guidance includes what we think we will recover from it, but the $3 million to $5 million that we've referenced and therefore actually your and the analyst benefits is assuming that this event did not happen.

Tyler Brown -- Raymond James -- Analyst

Okay. And then Eric, I'm having a little disconnect on the model between EBITDA and EPS. I've got a feeling there some things moving underneath the EBITDA, specifically amortization of intangibles. Can you give maybe some color on D&A amortization, maybe even interest expense?

Eric Gerratt -- Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer

Yeah, I think -- Tyler, this is Eric. I think one of the biggest drivers is interest expense. So when we acquired the Winnie facility in November, we acquired that through pull-downs on our revolver. So it was about $87 million. So those incremental borrowings are driving and we expect those to drive interest expense up in the $4 million-ish range over 2018 and 2019. So I think that's one of your biggest drivers. We do expect depreciation and amortization to be up based on the acquisitions that we did. So obviously, the fixed assets are higher with bringing those assets on and then as well as the intangible asset amortization.

And so there is a table in the release that kind of shows you the breakdown of EBITDA, that shows you those D&A numbers relative to what they were for 2018, but you're talking total D&A including amortization of intangibles of about $47 million in 2019 is what's built into our guidance versus about $39 million in 2018. So there is incremental growth in those numbers primarily due to those acquisitions.

Tyler Brown -- Raymond James -- Analyst

Yeah. Okay, perfect. That's very, very helpful. And then on the CapEx side, so you're obviously spending a lot on cell development. I'm just curious how we should think about CapEx in maybe 2020 and beyond? So is '19 an exceptionally heavy year from cell development? Would you expect to see CapEx step down in 2020? Or how should we think about that?

Simon Bell -- Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer

Yeah, this is Simon speaking here. Yeah, 2019, certainly what we're seeing is we went through a redesign of our landfill in Michigan, I'll avoid the technical nuances, but essentially what it did it pushed a lot of the landfill construction forward. So I expect 2020 will come back to more normal levels, but we'll also have some, I think a heavy year in 2021, followed by more normal levels thereafter, in fact maybe even decreasing. Because what we will be doing in the Michigan landfill is building a larger inventory than we might normally have done and that was just a sequencing and the design changes that kind of precipitated these changes.

Tyler Brown -- Raymond James -- Analyst

Okay, that's very helpful. And then on the 30% of the CapEx budget that is allocated toward the high ROIC projects, can you guys give just maybe some examples of what that might be?

Eric Gerratt -- Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer

Yeah, I certainly can. So there is multiple things we're doing on the -- both the -- on the organic fronts, we are expanding current technologies, maybe expanding capabilities, we can do more of the same. We're introducing expansion of our metals recycling facilities, we're introducing new technologies such as potentially looking at different markets from fuels blending and different areas. So at all of our facilities, we're evaluating additional service and additional demands that our existing customer base has a need for and so I would think of it as a lot of small organic multiple capabilities been introduced at the facilities combined with some larger technologies that we'll be evaluating that should be come into market here in 2019.

Tyler Brown -- Raymond James -- Analyst

Okay. Helpful. And then maybe this last one for Steve, but just any color on the event side of the world? So it feels like you guys are maybe a bit more optimistic than you were last quarter on event work. And it just kind of goes back to Jeff's questions, but is that based on RFPs that have been awarded or is that more just a general positive feeling, just any big picture kind of thoughts and commentary would be helpful there.

Jeffrey R. Feeler -- Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer and President

Sure. It's a little bit of both. We have multiple larger projects from 2018 that are continuing in '19. That's the first piece. We have two larger projects that were awarded in '18 that are starting in late Q1, early Q2 on top of that, plus we had a really good start in the Midwest, if you believe that with all the cold weather and everything, but we had a good start in event work which is giving us optimism that will continue on the rest of the year.

Tyler Brown -- Raymond James -- Analyst

Okay. Good. I appreciate it. Thank you for the time, guys.

Jeffrey R. Feeler -- Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer and President

Thank you, Tyler.

Eric Gerratt -- Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer

Thank you, Tyler.

Operator

(Operator Instructions) We'll go next to Brian Butler with Stifel.

Brian Butler -- Stifel -- Analyst

Good morning, thanks for taking my questions.

Jeffrey R. Feeler -- Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer and President

Hey, Brian.

Brian Butler -- Stifel -- Analyst

Hey. Just to start, just on the back half of, I guess or maybe the full year with -- when you consider the Grand View, you've kind of highlighted that $3 million to $5 million and I just want to be clear that in your current guidance, that's assuming that the services part of this is phased in gradually in '19 or is this -- this assumes that it's not the current guidance, it assumes that the Grand View is just landfill only?

Jeffrey R. Feeler -- Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer and President

So this is -- Brian, this is Jeff. So the current guidance assumes that we have direct landfill to the first half of the year and we resume normal operations in the back half of the year.

Brian Butler -- Stifel -- Analyst

Okay.

Jeffrey R. Feeler -- Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer and President

So, Brian, really that we have landfill operations for the majority of the year and then those services, particularly on the treatment side, toward the back half.

Brian Butler -- Stifel -- Analyst

Okay. That makes sense. And then on the project side, I'll follow up with another one, just to be clear, the new -- the work that continued into 2018, specifically when you think about like the main project rolling off, is that then extended out or do you -- have some of those ones that have continued the status on those chains favorably or just how should we think of what's in place and and still running?

Simon Bell -- Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer

The project you just mentioned is ongoing, we're just in between phases right now and should be kicking up again strong here in just a month or two. And we started out on this -- the other Northeast project that we have is kicking off strong this quarter. So, there's a couple that are -- that we're moving in '18 that are all scheduled again for '19 plus we have additional contracts awarded that are kicking off in a couple of months. So we feel confident, we have a good pipeline this year and nothing is pointing to a downward trend, it should be an upward trend.

Brian Butler -- Stifel -- Analyst

Okay. Good to hear. And then on the Ecoserv, a little color just on integration and how you view that progressing as well as how should we think about that running through the income statement, both on kind of the event base and -- or is it all going to be in the field services piece?

Jeffrey R. Feeler -- Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer and President

Yeah. So, this is Jeff. From an integration standpoint, we're continuing to integrate Winnie, we just closed it in middle of November, but we're not anticipating any difficulties on that front as opposed to how it will run through the financial statements. It's in our environmental services segment, it's business, which was something that attract -- we were attracted to is predominantly base business. There are some projects that we'll go through, but it's really there to service industrial base customers there and opens up a lot of opportunities for us to cross sell services, gain access to new customers as well as we expand our wallet share in existing customers as well as sell our complementary services.

So there will be some added benefits from the synergy side of things, in our services side, in our field and industrial services segment, but the vast majority of it will be in our environmental services side.

Brian Butler -- Stifel -- Analyst

And -- so it's -- wait, so that sounds like it's mostly base business and when you think of the base business guidance, is that including -- is that base business guide in organic or is that including the benefit coming from these deal revenues?

Jeffrey R. Feeler -- Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer and President

It's organic.

Brian Butler -- Stifel -- Analyst

Yes. And just to be clear, Brian, and for everybody, so that the US Ecology Winnie acquisition will roll up within our environmental services segment, the Dallas and Midland acquisitions we did back in September will roll through the field and industrial services segment.

Simon Bell -- Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer

Yes, and just to be clear brand for everybody so that the US Ecology Winnie acquisition is will roll up within our Environmental Services segment, the Dallas and Midland acquisitions we did back in September will roll through the field and industrial services segment.

Brian Butler -- Stifel -- Analyst

Okay. And then last one for me, have you seen any impact from kind of the automotive slowdown that we've seen kind of more globally, has that had any knock on consequences coming through on any of your industrial production customers or volumes?

Simon Bell -- Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer

Nothing we know of, no, we've continued strong in the Midwest last in fourth quarter and we had a good first quarter so far so, don't.

Brian Butler -- Stifel -- Analyst

Okay. Thank you very much for taking the questions.

Jeffrey R. Feeler -- Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer and President

Thanks, Brian.

Eric Gerratt -- Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer

Thanks, Brian.

Operator

And we'll go next to Tyson Bauer with KC Capital.

Tyler Brown -- Raymond James -- Analyst

Good morning, gentlemen and my condolences to your colleague.

Eric Gerratt -- Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer

Thank you.

Jeffrey R. Feeler -- Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer and President

Thank you, Tyson.

Analyst -- -- Analyst

The couple of quick questions. What was the decision behind going with straight revolver debt on the M&A, so you think you have that quick of a pay-down and if so, where do you think you'll be after this year, after next year to get that down and is that how you anticipate doing future deals?

Eric Gerratt -- Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer

Yeah, Tyson, this is Eric. Yeah, a part of -- our biggest factor we looked at is our credit facility still has really favorable terms. So we're today on the variable portion, we're at about 3.7% is the rate on that portion, the fixed portion, which we have -- we're about 50-50 at this point between fixed versus variable and that's at about 3.8%-ish. So we feel pretty good about that facility and so we chose to draw that down -- that acquisition down because of that favorable facility and it gives us the flexibility to continue to look at M&A, to continue to look at growth capital, potential projects and things of that further the cash.

That being said, in the guidance, we've modeled $20 million of debt pay down in 2019. I would tell you, it could be more or it could be less just based on what we see in the M&A pipeline and how the CapEx flows during the year.

Tyler Brown -- Raymond James -- Analyst

Eric, I thought you're going to take credit for being clairvoyant that the Fed will take a pause on interest rate.

Eric Gerratt -- Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer

No, I won't take credit for that.

Tyler Brown -- Raymond James -- Analyst

Okay. The -- you've gone through a process to expand permits in Michigan, is that free and clear it's passed all those hurdles, there's no more appeals processes by the local or the state level there?

Simon Bell -- Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer

Yeah, that has completed, we advanced some very important legislation that kind of established in the statute, if you will, our ability to accept and to continue accepting that material. So we were very pleased with the outcome there.

Tyler Brown -- Raymond James -- Analyst

And have you started to accept that material or anticipate doing so in the near term?

Simon Bell -- Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer

Yes, we have, we continue to and we will be receiving that material in the future.

Tyler Brown -- Raymond James -- Analyst

Okay. In regards to permits and the types of materials you can treat, when you rebuild the treatment plant there in Grand View, will that allow you -- are you looking to try to expand what you're able to treat in that capacity or what's the plan there with the $8 million to rebuild?

Simon Bell -- Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer

Yeah, Tyson, this is Simon again. It's an excellent question. We are certainly going through the scope, probably not in a position to lay out the specific plans. We have such a broad geographic footprint today, we can really be strategic about how we build, what the best way to rebuild, focus on the market today. So certainly we will take the opportunity to optimize the design, certainly this is a tragedy that was felt across the whole Company, but this will provide an opportunity to put some first world-class facilities and efficiencies into our design.

Tyler Brown -- Raymond James -- Analyst

Okay. Eric, what was the decision for not taking any kind of reserves on pending environmental fines, either from (inaudible) or EPA or State of Idaho and also legal liabilities that may come up going forward, is that covered under insurance or is it a wait and see and we may see reserves taken later this year?

Eric Gerratt -- Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer

Yeah, Tyson. I would tell you, the biggest reason or the best answer is we don't have any new indication of things like that at this point. And to the second part of your question, we do expect that those kinds of proceedings would fall under our insurance programs.

Tyler Brown -- Raymond James -- Analyst

Okay. Thank you, gentlemen.

Jeffrey R. Feeler -- Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer and President

Thanks, Tyson.

Operator

And we'll go next to Jeff Silber with BMO Capital Markets.

Jeff Silber -- BMO Capital Markets -- Analyst

Thank you so much. Wanted to focus back on some of the issues within your guidance. Specifically, you're looking for the base business, I think to grow 3% to 5%, if I remember correctly. That's in line with your longer-term growth and that, I know that excludes some of the acquisitions that you mentioned. You finished the year really strong, especially when we take out Idaho, are you just being overly conservative, are we expecting that number to kind of slow down as the year progresses? Any comments on seasonality would be really helpful. Thanks.

Jeffrey R. Feeler -- Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer and President

Yeah, Jeff. So, this is Jeff Feeler on here. So with regard to our guidance on base business is, the 3% to 5%, I mean that's really on top of what was better than expected 2018 from a base business perspective. So I don't think there's conservatism built into it, but we're definitely not being overly aggressive on it as well. So I think it's a balanced approach in there. We will see some uptick from some of our -- especially, our US Ecology Winnie facility on the base business, so it's predominantly base business there.

The other comment on -- I'm trying to remember what the other question was.

Jeff Silber -- BMO Capital Markets -- Analyst

Seasonality.

Jeffrey R. Feeler -- Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer and President

Seasonality. Okay, yeah. So, seasonality, you would -- I would expect it to be very similar to what we've had in the previous years. First quarter will be our lowest quarter of the year with it gradually building and I think it may be a little bit heightened this year with regard to -- with Grand View coming more -- more capabilities in the back half of the year. So with that I would expect the back half to be meaningful and prominent than what we've seen in the past.

Eric Gerratt -- Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer

Yeah, Jeff, this is Eric, just to add to that. So as is typical, we expect the first quarter to be our lowest quarter, our seasonally lowest quarter, which we've seen for several years. So we still expect that for this year, but to Jeff's point, we will -- we may see that the second half be even seasonally stronger than usual just as Grand View comes back online.

Jeff Silber -- BMO Capital Markets -- Analyst

Okay, great. And forgive me if I missed this, but did you disclose the impact of the two acquisitions you made in the fourth quarter on fourth quarter revenues?

Eric Gerratt -- Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer

We did not, we did not. So, we would expect and we're not in a position or not going to be providing revenue guidance for the Winnie acquisition. It's about $9 million of EBITDA, the Midland and Dallas acquisition, it's about $20 million of revenue in our guidance for next year and about $4 million in EBITDA. I would tell you that in 2018, that level of contribution in terms of a revenue perspective was probably between $8 million and $10 million.

Jeff Silber -- BMO Capital Markets -- Analyst

Okay, great, that's helpful. And finally, there was some discussion about CapEx over the longer term and I think the words we used, CapEx to be more normal. Can you remind us what a more normal range is, either as a percentage of revenues or some dollar amount?

Jeffrey R. Feeler -- Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer and President

Yeah, so this year is $55 million to $60 million, next year we'll probably be south of $50 million, but probably in that $40 million to $50 million range. And then when we look out to 2021, depending on landfill construction, if we could be back up to a similar range that we saw this year, and then fallen off from there.

Jeff Silber -- BMO Capital Markets -- Analyst

When you say saw this year, saw in 2018 or?

Eric Gerratt -- Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer

I'm sorry, so I'm seeing what we're seeing in '19, good follow up. I think one of the things to keep in mind on this, a lot of attention on capital is, we're spending a lot of our capital on redeploying in growth opportunities. And that's why we've been heightening that out. If you look at our baseline maintenance capital, it's running right around $20 million a year and that's what we need to run the facilities as is. And then you have the landfill that comes in and out depending on timing of construction. Typically, those landfill construction periods build out anywhere from one to three years of airspace that we can do. With five landfills, that causes some volatility from year-to-year.

What Simon was mentioning on the Michigan landfill and I think this is an important comment is the redesign of that landfill is in two major phases. One is in Michigan in 2019 and the other one is in 2021. And what that's going to do is once we get that built because it's built on top of an older landfill, it's going to give us multiple, probably five years of additional airspace or more after that and it's really timing.

And so when we're looking out three years from now, we're going to see our landfills construction, especially at our Michigan landfill, dropped significantly. And so it is a timing area right now.

Jeff Silber -- BMO Capital Markets -- Analyst

All right. That's really helpful. Appreciate the color. Thanks so much.

Jeffrey R. Feeler -- Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer and President

Thanks, Jeff.

Operator

(Operator Instructions) This concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Jeff Feeler for any closing remarks.

Jeffrey R. Feeler -- Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer and President

I want to thank those who participated today for interest in the Company and look forward to giving you an update on our first quarter results at the end of April, first part of May. Have a great day.

Operator

The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation.

Duration: 47 minutes

Call participants:

Eric Gerratt -- Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer

Jeffrey R. Feeler -- Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer and President

Unidentified Speaker --

Tyler Brown -- Raymond James -- Analyst

Simon Bell -- Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer

Brian Butler -- Stifel -- Analyst

Analyst -- -- Analyst

Jeff Silber -- BMO Capital Markets -- Analyst

More ECOL analysis

Transcript powered by AlphaStreet

This article is a transcript of this conference call produced for The Motley Fool. While we strive for our Foolish Best, there may be errors, omissions, or inaccuracies in this transcript. As with all our articles, The Motley Fool does not assume any responsibility for your use of this content, and we strongly encourage you to do your own research, including listening to the call yourself and reading the company's SEC filings. Please see our Terms and Conditions for additional details, including our Obligatory Capitalized Disclaimers of Liability.

Saturday, February 23, 2019

Starbucks Stock Is Simply Too Hot

I’ve been bearish on Starbucks (NASDAQ:SBUX) stock for some time now. That skepticism looked prescient a year ago, when SBUX stock touched its lowest levels in almost three years. Since then, however, Starbucks stock has soared: SBUX at the moment trades near its all-time high.

Why Starbucks (SBUX) Stock Looks Overheated at Current LevelsWhy Starbucks (SBUX) Stock Looks Overheated at Current LevelsSource: Shutterstock

Despite the volatility of the stock, Starbucks’ outlook doesn’t seem to have changed all that much. Starbucks’ business is up there with McDonald’s (NYSE:MCD) as one of the best in the world.

But the valuation of SBUX stock has been worrisome for a long time, and SBUX is facing meaningful risks. By placing a huge bet on China, SBUX has made a wager that looks increasingly dicey as the economy in that emerging market shows signs of slowing down. Meanwhile, the same-store sales and traffic growth of Starbucks’ U.S. business has slowed.

While SBUX stock has gained a whopping 50% from its late-June lows, its risks persist. In fact, several of those risks were highlighted in the company’s first-quarter results last month that helped push Starbucks stock to its current highs. Given those concerns, and an increasingly stretched valuation, it looks like SBUX stock has run too far.

Starbucks’ Q1 Earnings

Looking at the headline Q1 numbers, investors could easily believe that SBUX did well. Propelled by a 4% same-store sales increase, its revenue rose 9%. Adjusted earnings per share climbed 15% year-over-year. Both figures were nicely ahead of analysts’ consensus outlook, and seem to foreshadow a potentially strong fiscal 2019.

But the quarter isn’t nearly as impressive as it seems on the surface. Comp growth of 4% seems impressive, but three of the four percentage points were generated by price hikes. In the U.S., traffic was flat year-over-year (as it was in the same period a year earlier), further suggesting that the business has reached a saturation point domestically. In China, comps rose just 1% year-over-year, while the number of transactions declined 2% YoY.

Meanwhile, the company’s earnings growth came almost solely from a lower tax rate. Adjusted operating income actually declined 1.2% YoY. Margins dropped 1.7 percentage points.


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Still, there are reasons to worry about the company’s near-term profit outlook, even though its sales are growing. And some of the longer-term concerns raised by the company’s Investor Day late last year haven’t eased.

SBUX stock now trades at almost 26 times the midpoint of its updated EPS guidance. That’s a high valuation, and one that suggests that everything will keep going smoothly.

Has SBUX Stock Peaked?

From here, $71.54 looks like a potential peak for SBUX stock. The 26 multiple is towards the high end of the company’s multi-year range. It’s a multiple that likely requires the U.S. stock market and the company’s overseas business to continue to be strong.

Starbucks still is adding new stores in the U.S. But the pace is slowing; its domestic store count rose just 4% year-over-year last quarter. With nearly 15,000 stores, SBUX likely is running out of room.

And its European business is improving, as a turnaround there takes hold. But the big growth driver of Starbucks stock is China.

Luke Lango argued on this site that the struggles of Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) in China raised some concerns about the country’s economy, and he makes a good point. Clearly, Chinese customers are more budget-conscious than they were a year ago.

Weakness in China won’t bring Starbucks’ growth story to an end. But it certainly would slow SBUX down and hurt SBUX stock. I noted in December that Starbucks already has brought down its long-term EPS growth target to roughly 10% per year from 12% previously. Unexpected troubles in China would drop that growth to the single-digits. And as embedded as Starbucks is in the U.S., in particular, it’s tough to see investors paying 26 times earnings for 8%-9% annual EPS increases.

The risk facing SBUX stock is not necessarily that  Starbucks’ growth is going to stop, but that it will slow enough to give investors pause. Currently, SBUX’s FY20 EPS is on a pace to be about $3; cut that figure to $2.90 and bring the EPS multiple down to a still-reasonable 21 times, and SBUX stock would drop to $60. Add in any macro worries in the U.S. or Europe and the decline could be steeper.

Be Careful With Starbucks Stock

All told, it does look like SBUX is approaching a ceiling. It’s difficult to imagine its earnings multiple expanding much more. SBUX may outperform expectations this year, but it’s seemingly equally likely that it could stumble, particularly in Asia.

SBUX stock shouldn’t be shorted, by any means; it simply seems like there are better, and potentially easier, ways to make money. A few good quarters have sent Starbucks stock 50% higher. It would probably only take one bad quarter to reverse at least some of those gains.

As of this writing, Vince Martin has no positions in any securities mention

Friday, February 22, 2019

How to File Your Taxes: A Beginner's Guide

In 2017, the Internal Revenue Service processed more than 245 million tax returns and collected more than $3.4 trillion in revenue. Individuals and businesses throughout the U.S. are expected to file tax forms with the IRS to tell the federal government how much income they earned, what deductions and credits they're claiming, their total tax bill, and how much they underpaid or overpaid for the year. 

Americans pay taxes throughout the year, with many workers having money directly withheld from their paychecks. The tax filing process is how the government returns any overpayments made by taxpayers or charges those who didn't pay enough. The overpayments can be substantial, as the IRS issued close to $437 billion in tax refunds in 2017.

While millions of Americans file tax returns, that doesn't mean the process is easy, especially if you've never filed taxes before. This guide will walk you through the process of figuring out all the ins and outs of filing your tax return, including:

Who needs to file taxes? What tax forms do you need to prepare your tax return? What are tax deductions and tax credits? What tax forms do you need to submit with your tax return? How do you file your tax forms? How do you choose the right tax filing status? How do you decide whether to itemize or claim the standard deduction? What are the deadlines are for filing taxes? What to do if you can't meet the tax filing deadline? When and how do you claim your tax refund? How do you track your refund? How do you pay taxes if you owe the IRS money? Where can you get help filing your taxes? When should you hire a tax professional? How do you save money when filing your taxes? What should you do with your tax refund? 1040 form and refund check

Image source: Getty Images.

Who needs to file a tax return?

Not everyone needs to file a tax return. Whether or not you need to file depends on your income, filing status, and whether anyone claims you as a dependent. The table below shows when you're required to file. If your income equals or exceeds the listed amount, you're expected to submit a tax return. 

Filing Status

Age at the End of 2018

Income at Which You Must File

Single

Under 65

$12,000.00

Single

65 or older

$13,600.00

Married filing separately

All ages

$5.00

Head of household

Under 65

$18,000.00

Head of household

65 or older

$19,600.00

Married filing jointly

Both spouses under 65

$24,000.00

Married filing jointly

One spouse under 65

$25,300.00

Married filing jointly

Both spouses 65 or older

$26,600.00

Qualifying widow or widower with dependent child

Under 65

$24,000.00

Qualifying widow or widower with dependent child

65 or older

$25,300.00

This next table shows when you need to file if you are claimed as a dependent on someone else's tax return. Your parent, relative, or a person who supports you financially may claim you as a dependent. 

If you're claimed as a dependent and:

Then you must file if:

You're single, under age 65 and not blind

Your earned income exceeds $12,000; your unearned income exceeds $1,050; or you're gross income exceeds $1,050 or $11,650 in earned income + $350

You're single and either 65 or over or blind

Your unearned income exceeds $2,650; your earned income exceeds $13,600; or your gross income exceeds $2,650 or you have earned income of $11,650 + $1,950

You're married, under age 65 and not blind

Your unearned income exceeds $1,050; your earned income exceeds $12,000; your gross income is $5 or more and your spouse files a separate return with itemized deductions; or your gross income exceeds the larger of $1,050 or earned income of $11,650 + $350

You're married and either 65 or over or blind

Your unearned income exceeds $2,350; your earned income exceeds $13,300; your gross income is at least $5 and your spouse files a separate return with itemized deductions; or your gross income exceeds $2,350 or earned income of $11,650 + $1,650

The IRS also has an Interactive Tax Assistant tool to find out if you need to file by answering a few questions. 

If you are not required to file a tax return because you didn't meet the minimum income threshold, you may still want to do so. For example, you may be eligible for certain refundable tax credits, including the Earned Income Tax Credit. Refundable tax credits can allow you to get back not just money that may have been withheld from your paycheck, but also more money than you actually paid in taxes. If you're eligible to get money back from the IRS, you will need to file a return in order for the IRS to send you the funds you're entitled to. 

What tax forms do you need to prepare your tax return?

You'll receive lots of different forms in the mail that you may need when preparing your tax return. These forms give you key information, such as details about your income and deductions you may be entitled to. Keep an eye out for the following tax forms:

W-2: This form comes from employers and details the amount you earned as well as the amount of income tax withheld from your paychecks. If you worked full or part-time, you'll receive this form.  1099: This form is used to report income from sources besides employers. You'll receive this form if you earn income as a contractor or freelancer, or if you earn income from rental real estate, among other things 1099-INT: This is another type of 1099 form you'll receive if you earned interest from a savings accounts or if you earned dividends from investments.  1095-A: This form stipulates you had a qualifying health insurance plan. For the 2018 tax year, there is still a penalty in effect if your health coverage doesn't comply with the requirements of the Affordable Care Act (or Obamacare). You'll need this form to show you had the required coverage.  1098: You'll receive this form detailing interest payments made on your student loans or interest payments made on your mortgage. You can deduct up to $2,500 of student loan interest as long as your income is over the earnings limit. If you itemize, you can also take a deduction for interest on a mortgage up to either $750,000 or $1 million, depending on when you bought your home. 

There may be other forms sent to you by employers or companies you've done business with. Keep all this tax paperwork together as you receive it. While you won't need to submit most of it to the IRS (the companies who generate the forms send them directly), having it in one place will make completing your tax return much simpler. 

If you plan to claim certain deductions for business expenses, charitable donations, or medical expenses, be sure to keep those receipts, too. If you're audited, you'll need proof to back up the deductions you claimed.

An audit is an investigation by the IRS to check that you declared all your income and didn't claim any deductions or credits you weren't entitled to. The likelihood of an audit is pretty small -- only around 0.5% of all returns last year were audited last year, according to ProPublica-- but it's still worth holding on to your documents in case you're asked to provide proof of your eligibility for deductions by the IRS. ProPublica also found that claiming the Earned Income Tax Credit makes it more likely you'll be audited, so it's especially important to keep your paperwork if you claim this credit. And if you are audited, don't panic.

What are tax deductions and tax credits?

When you submit your tax forms, it's important that you claim all of the deductions and credits you're entitled to. Deductions and credits both provide tax savings but in different ways.

A deduction reduces the amount of income the government deems taxable and levies your income tax rate on. If you had $55,000 in taxable income and you claim a $1,000 deduction, your total taxable income is reduced to $54,000 because you subtracted the amount of the deduction from your taxable income.

The value of a deduction is determined by your tax rate, because your savings come from not having to pay taxes on the deductible amount. So, if you were in the 22% tax bracket, a $1,000 deduction would save you 22% of $1,000, or $220.

A credit, on the other hand, reduces your taxes owed on a dollar-for-dollar basis. A $1,000 credit would reduce your tax bill by $1,000. If you'd have had a $2,000 tax bill and you claim a $1,000 credit, your tax bill comes down to $1,000. Tax credits are obviously more valuable than a deduction, although both provide savings. And while some credits only reduce your tax bill to $0, there are others that are fully or partially refundable so it's actually possible to get money back from the IRS that exceeds what you paid into the tax system. 

This 2019 guide to tax deductions can help you find deductions for which you're eligible, while this guide to tax credits can help you identify opportunities to take advantage of these valuable tax savings. 

What tax forms do you need to submit with your tax return?

Figuring out what tax forms you'll need may seem complicated, but the good news is that if you use tax prep software, all the forms you need will be populated for you. However, you still need to know what forms you'll encounter when filing your taxes. 

In prior years, taxpayers had a choice of several different 1040 forms, which is the basic tax form you need to submit to the IRS. This form is what most people refer to as their tax return. 

For 2018, there's a simplified 1040 form that virtually all individual taxpayers will use. This form asks for all the basic info you need to provide to the IRS including:

Your filing status Whether you're claiming the standard deduction Whether anyone can claim you as a dependent Your address Your birth year (and your spouse's birth year) Your address Details about dependents you're claiming, including their full name, Social Security number, and relationship to you

In addition to the 1040 form, you may need to submit additional forms, called "Schedules." These include:

Schedule 1 if you're claiming deductions such as the student loan interest deduction or a deduction for self-employment tax; or if you have additional income from unemployment compensation; capital gains; gambling wins; or prize or award money.  Schedule 2 if you owe alternative minimum tax (most people won't in 2018) or if you must make an excess advance premium tax credit repayment (you may need to make this payment if you received too many Obamacare subsidies for your insurance coverage).  Schedule 3 if you can claim a nonrefundable tax credit other than the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) or the credit for other dependents. Examples include educational credits, a foreign tax credit, or general business credit.  Schedule 4 if you owe other taxes besides self-employment taxes or additional tax on withdrawals from certain tax-advantaged retirement accounts such as IRAs.   Schedule 5 if you're eligible to claim refundable credits other than the American Opportunity Credit or additional child tax credit or if you have other payments, such as an excess Social Security tax withheld.  Schedule 6 if you have a foreign address or if you've designated a third party -- other than a paid tax preparer -- to file your taxes. 

Each state also has its own tax forms that have to be submitted -- assuming you live in one of the 43 states (plus D.C.) that collect state taxes. Visit your state's Department of Revenue website to find the corresponding state tax forms. 

How do you file your tax forms?

You have three possible options for how to submit tax forms to the IRS:

You could e-file your forms.

E-filing is the preferred approach. It's faster, easier, and you're less likely to make mistakes when forms are submitted electronically. 

If you make $66,000 or less, there are many software programs that let you submit your taxes for free. (If you make more than $66,000, you can take advantage of those free forms, but you won't get the free help from the software program.) The IRS provides a list of software programs that people who earned less than $66,000 can use to file taxes at no cost, including H&R Block's Free File and TurboTax Free File. Our guide to the best tax software program can help you find the best software solution for you. 

Many of the software programs that allow you to e-file your federal taxes at no cost also let you e-file your state tax returns for free, provided your income doesn't exceed a certain threshold. These programs ask you simple questions about your life to identify deductions and credits you're eligible for. They also walk you through the process of filling out all the required forms.

If your income exceeds $66,000, you can choose to use the software programs if you aren't sure how to do taxes on your own. But depending on the program, you may have to pay a fee to file your federal and/or state taxes. 

You could mail in your forms.

You also have the option to fill out paper forms and mail them to the IRS. The address where you need to send your forms can be found on the IRS website (it varies by state). The IRS warns that when you mail in your forms, it can take between six and eight weeks for your forms to be processed. This can significantly delay the time it takes for you to obtain a tax refund if you're owed one. 

You can have your forms submitted for you.

Authorized tax preparers may have the authority to e-file for you. You could find paid professionals, such as accountants, to complete your taxes and submit your forms electronically. Or you could use volunteer tax services to help you complete and submit your forms for free (more on this later).

How do you choose the right tax filing status?

When you submit your tax return, one of the most important steps is choosing the correct filing status. Your filing status determines your tax bracket and can affect the deductions and credits you can claim. 

Your tax filing status options include:

Single: You can file as single if you've never been married, if you're divorced, or if you're widowed. As we'll explain below, you don't typically want to file as single if you have the option to file as head of household or as a widow(er) with a dependent child.    Head of household: You're eligible to file as head of household if you weren't married as of Dec. 31, if you paid at least half the cost of maintaining a home, and if you're living with or supporting a "qualifying person." A qualifying person could be anyone you financially support, provided they meet certain requirements. This IRS guide details exactly who counts as a qualifying person. Children and aging parents are two common examples.  Married filing separately or married filing jointly: You're eligible to file as married if you were living together as legal spouses or common law spouses (if recognized by your state) as of Dec. 31. You can file as married even if you were living separately, as long as you aren't legally separated. You can also file as married if your spouse died during the course of the tax year. Married filers have a choice between filing jointly or separately, but there are many limits on deductions if you opt to file separately. Most married couples are better off filing jointly, but you can check out this guide to a few situations where filing separately might make sense.  Widow(er) with dependent child: You can choose this status if your spouse died in the prior two years, you were eligible to file jointly with your spouse in the year of death, you haven't remarried, and you maintain a home for at least one dependent child. This IRS guide helps you determine if your child qualifies as a dependent. 

You don't want to choose single as your filing status if you qualify for head of household or widower because you move into a higher tax bracket at a lower income level when you file as single. There are also certain deductions that you can't claim if you earn too much -- and the threshold at which you lose those deductions is lower for the single filing status. Plus, if you file as single, your standard deduction is also smaller.

Explore all your options and choose the status that allows you to pay the least in taxes. This online IRS tool can help determine which status you qualify for. 

How do you decide whether to claim the standard deduction or to itemize?

In addition to filing status, the choice of whether to itemize or take the standard deductions is one of the two most important decisions you'll make when filing taxes.

When you take the standard deduction, you are able to deduct a set amount of income from your taxes based on your filing status. For the 2018 tax year, the standard deduction is:

$12,000 if you file as single or married filing separately $18,000 if you file as head of household $24,000 if you file as married filing jointly

If you take the standard deduction, you are allowed to take a few additional tax deductions as well, such as a deduction for contributions to an IRA or a deduction for student loan interest. There are many other deductions you can only claim, though, if you itemize.

If you choose to itemize instead of taking the standard deduction, you deduct from your taxable income for specific things -- but you do not deduct the $12,000, $18,000, or $24,000 standard deduction. You should itemize only if the total combined value of your itemized deductions exceeds the standard deduction. 

Some of the deductions you can only claim if you itemize include deductions for:

State and local taxes (SALT) paid Mortgage interest Charitable donations Medical expenses that exceed a certain percentage of income Investment expenses

The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act significantly increased the standard deduction. Many people who itemized in the past will now claim the standard deduction instead because the value of their itemized deductions is not high enough to exceed the standard deduction amount. 

What are the deadlines for filing your taxes? 

There are deadlines for filing your taxes that you must meet. Typically, Tax Day is April 15, meaning that's the last day to e-file or mail your tax return. Monday, April 15, 2019, is when your 2018 taxes are due.

Sometimes April 15 falls on a weekend or on a holiday, so the deadline for filing your taxes is moved to the next business day. For example, the tax deadline for filing 2017 taxes was April 18, 2018, because the 15th fell on a weekend, and Monday, April 17, was Emancipation Day, which is a Washington, D.C., holiday. 

There is no reason to wait for the deadline, although tax returns must be submitted no later than that date. The IRS begins accepting returns as early as January. For 2019, you could submit your return beginning Jan. 28, 2019. 

What if you can't meet the tax filing deadlines?

If you can't submit your taxes by the April deadline, request an automatic six-month extension by submitting Form 4868 electronically or via mail. Submitting this form by the April deadline means you'll automatically have until October to submit your tax returns.

A filing extension doesn't extend the time you have to pay your taxes, though. If you haven't submitted the tax payments you owe by April 15, you could be hit with penalties and late fees. However, you won't be charged these penalties if you have paid at least 90% of what you owe by April 15, and you submitted a timely extension request. The remaining 10% would be due by the October deadline. 

Be sure to file even if you cannot afford to pay your taxes, because the failure-to-file penalty is substantially greater than the penalty for failing to pay. The failure-to-file penalty is 5% of the unpaid tax balance for each part of a month you're late, with a maximum penalty of 25% of what's owed. The failure-to-pay penalty is 0.5% of what you owe for each part of a month you're late, with a maximum 25% penalty. 

When and how can you claim a tax refund?

If you have overpaid your taxes during the year because too much money was withheld from your paycheck or because you submitted excess payments to the IRS, you can claim your refund simply by e-filing or mailing your tax returns. The IRS will send your refund via mail or you can submit your bank information and request to have your refund distributed using direct deposit.

E-filing and requesting a refund via direct deposit is the fastest way to obtain your refund. In most cases, you will have your refund within 21 days or less from the time you submit your return. If you mail in your return, it could take up to six weeks for your refund to arrive. 

If you claim the EITC or the Additional Child Tax Credit, your refund will be delayed until at least Feb. 27, 2019, even if you submit your returns early and choose direct deposit. That's because the Protecting Americans from Tax Hikes (PATH) Act requires the IRS to hold refunds until mid-February when you claim these credits. 

How can you track your refund?

After you've submitted your tax return, track its status on the IRS website. You will need to submit your Social Security number, choose your filing status, and input the refund amount to track when it will arrive. 

How can you pay taxes if you owe the IRS money?

Taxpayers who owe money to the IRS can pay using their bank account without paying a fee. The IRS payment website allows you to use direct pay at no cost by submitting your bank information. You may also pay with a credit card using a third-party payment processor, but there is a fee for doing so.  

You can send a check or money order to the IRS to pay your taxes as well, or pay cash to a retail partner. The IRS provides detailed instructions for making cash payments, as well as instructions for where to mail a check or money order. 

Where can you get help filing your taxes?

Some taxpayers are entitled to free assistance in preparing and submitting their tax returns. People with low income, who are disabled, or who have difficulty with English can obtain free assistance through the Volunteer Income Tax Assistance (VITA) program while seniors can get help through the Tax Counseling for the Elderly (TCE) program.

When should you hire a tax professional?

Not all taxpayers are entitled to free assistance -- and some who aren't would benefit from getting help from a professional rather than just using online software or filling out paper returns.

It may be a smart choice to hire a tax professional if:

You've had a major life change: When your income dramatically changes, you divorce or get married, your spouse dies, or you add a new member to your family, these changes can have a profound impact on your taxes. It may make sense to consult with a professional to figure out how your tax situation will change and what you can do to minimize your tax obligations in your new situation.  You've started a business or are running a business: There's a whole separate set of tax rules that apply to those who own their own business. You should talk with a professional about how your company should be structured for tax purposes and what special deductions you may be entitled to as a result of your company.  You have foreign assets: There are very complex rules for declaring offshore investments and substantial penalties if you don't obey them. If you have an offshore account or other foreign investments, get help with your taxes. You live or work in multiple states: State tax rules vary dramatically from one locale to the next. A tax professional can assist you in figuring out what your state tax obligations are when you have various residences.  You've just retired: Retirees have different sources of income and tax obligations to fulfill (such as taking required distributions from certain tax-advantaged retirement accounts if you're at least 70 1/2). Get professional help to figure out your new tax situation now that you're no longer in the workforce. 

If you aren't sure where to start when it comes to your taxes, hiring a professional may help your peace-of-mind. It costs less than you probably think to get tax help with a simple return, and it can be worth it to avoid making mistakes that come back to bite you. 

How do you save money when filing your taxes?

It's important to do everything you can to save money when you file your taxes. This means avoiding common -- and costly -- mistakes when you file. To make sure you don't pay the IRS more than necessary, you should:

Keep receipts and claim all deductions and credits you're entitled to. Avoid claiming credits or deductions you aren't eligble for, which could lead to an audit or penalties. File and pay your taxes on time to avoid interest and late fees. Use the right filing status and make the optimal choice between itemizing and claiming the standard deduction. Contribute to tax-advantaged accounts such as IRAs and 401(k)s that provide a tax break. Get tax help if necessary so you don't make costly errors.

Making the effort to do your taxes right and save as much as possible can leave you with more money in your pocket for other important financial goals. 

What should you do with your tax refund?

Ideally, you should try not to get a tax refund, although many people like getting this big chunk of change every year. When you receive a tax refund, you've tied up your money and given the IRS an interest-free loan when you could've used that cash to pay down debt or save for emergencies. Avoid getting a refund next year by asking your HR contact to adjust the amount being withheld from your paycheck. 

If you do receive a refund, be smart about how to use the money by:

Paying down debt Building an emergency fund Saving for long-term goals such as the down payment on a home Putting the money into your retirement account Investing in the stock market for the long term 

Use the money in a way that benefits your long-term financial horizon rather than splurging on things that don't add real value to your life. 

Now you know how to file your taxes

So, how do you file taxes?

To sum it all up, you'll need to either e-file using free or paid software or mail in your 1040 with the other required forms. Choose a filing status based on your family situation and then add up the value of deductions and credits you're eligible for to determine if you should itemize or claim the standard deduction. After you submit your 1040 and state tax forms, pay what you owe via bank account, cash, check, money order or credit card -- or claim a refund, which should be delivered by the IRS in about 21 days, or less if you choose direct deposit. 

While it sounds complicated, you can get free or paid help. Choosing a good tax software program can help make the filing process quite easy. And, remember, the first few times you file taxes are always more complicated. As you file tax returns year after year, you'll get more familiar with IRS rules -- and the process will get easier over time.  

Thursday, February 21, 2019

Equities Analysts Issue Forecasts for HubSpot Inc’s Q1 2019 Earnings (HUBS)

HubSpot Inc (NYSE:HUBS) – Equities researchers at Oppenheimer issued their Q1 2019 EPS estimates for HubSpot in a research note issued on Wednesday, February 13th. Oppenheimer analyst K. Ikeda forecasts that the software maker will post earnings of ($0.23) per share for the quarter. Oppenheimer currently has a “Market Perform” rating on the stock. Oppenheimer also issued estimates for HubSpot’s Q2 2019 earnings at ($0.31) EPS, Q3 2019 earnings at ($0.36) EPS, Q4 2019 earnings at ($0.17) EPS and FY2019 earnings at ($1.16) EPS.

Get HubSpot alerts:

HubSpot (NYSE:HUBS) last issued its quarterly earnings results on Tuesday, February 12th. The software maker reported $0.37 EPS for the quarter, topping the Zacks’ consensus estimate of ($0.17) by $0.54. The firm had revenue of $144.02 million for the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $137.48 million. HubSpot had a negative net margin of 12.44% and a negative return on equity of 17.08%. The business’s revenue for the quarter was up 35.2% compared to the same quarter last year. During the same quarter in the prior year, the firm earned $0.12 EPS.

A number of other brokerages have also commented on HUBS. Deutsche Bank increased their price target on shares of HubSpot from $150.00 to $168.00 and gave the stock a “hold” rating in a report on Wednesday, February 13th. Bank of America increased their price target on shares of HubSpot from $185.00 to $205.00 and gave the stock a “buy” rating in a report on Wednesday, February 13th. Canaccord Genuity increased their price target on shares of HubSpot from $160.00 to $190.00 and gave the stock a “buy” rating in a report on Wednesday, February 13th. Raymond James increased their price target on shares of HubSpot from $155.00 to $181.00 and gave the stock an “outperform” rating in a report on Wednesday, February 13th. Finally, Needham & Company LLC reissued a “buy” rating and issued a $198.00 price target (up previously from $145.00) on shares of HubSpot in a report on Wednesday, February 13th. Nine equities research analysts have rated the stock with a hold rating, ten have issued a buy rating and one has assigned a strong buy rating to the stock. The stock has an average rating of “Buy” and an average target price of $170.29.

Shares of NYSE:HUBS opened at $165.62 on Monday. The firm has a market capitalization of $6.57 billion, a PE ratio of -162.37 and a beta of 1.92. HubSpot has a one year low of $101.45 and a one year high of $180.00. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.30, a quick ratio of 3.15 and a current ratio of 3.01.

In related news, General Counsel John P. Kelleher sold 508 shares of the stock in a transaction on Tuesday, December 4th. The shares were sold at an average price of $138.54, for a total transaction of $70,378.32. The transaction was disclosed in a document filed with the SEC, which is accessible through this link. Also, Director Ronald S. Gill sold 4,133 shares of the stock in a transaction on Monday, February 11th. The shares were sold at an average price of $166.92, for a total transaction of $689,880.36. Following the transaction, the director now directly owns 18,207 shares in the company, valued at approximately $3,039,112.44. The disclosure for this sale can be found here. In the last ninety days, insiders have sold 74,763 shares of company stock worth $10,819,780. 9.60% of the stock is owned by insiders.

Several hedge funds have recently added to or reduced their stakes in the stock. Nordea Investment Management AB grew its holdings in HubSpot by 7.6% in the 4th quarter. Nordea Investment Management AB now owns 33,292 shares of the software maker’s stock worth $4,186,000 after acquiring an additional 2,364 shares during the last quarter. Executive Wealth Management LLC bought a new stake in HubSpot in the 4th quarter worth $26,000. Amalgamated Bank grew its holdings in HubSpot by 150.4% in the 4th quarter. Amalgamated Bank now owns 5,331 shares of the software maker’s stock worth $670,000 after acquiring an additional 3,202 shares during the last quarter. Millennium Management LLC grew its holdings in HubSpot by 8.6% in the 4th quarter. Millennium Management LLC now owns 184,509 shares of the software maker’s stock worth $23,198,000 after acquiring an additional 14,681 shares during the last quarter. Finally, Vista Equity Partners Management LLC grew its holdings in HubSpot by 40.5% in the 4th quarter. Vista Equity Partners Management LLC now owns 131,366 shares of the software maker’s stock worth $16,517,000 after acquiring an additional 37,888 shares during the last quarter. 93.19% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors.

HubSpot Company Profile

HubSpot, Inc provides a cloud-based marketing and sales software platform for businesses in the Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. Its software platform includes integrated applications, such as social media, search engine optimization, blogging, Website content management, marketing automation, email, sales productivity, CRM, analytics, and reporting.

Read More: Purposes and Functions of the Federal Reserve

Earnings History and Estimates for HubSpot (NYSE:HUBS)

Tuesday, February 19, 2019

Hold V-Guard Industries; target of Rs 205: ICICI Direct


ICICI Direct's research report on V-Guard Industries


V-Guard's Q3FY19 topline grew 14% largely driven by new categories (like kitchen appliances, switchgears), recovery in demand from south regions (contributes ~63% in topline) post floods in Kerala and expansion in new geographies (non-south regions). On product fronts, barring the wire and pump segment, all products recorded strong revenue growth led by water heater (up 17%), stabiliser (up 17%), fan (up 23%) and digital UPS (up 18%). Further, relatively newer categories like kitchen appliances & switchgears segment continue to grow at a higher rate of 45% & 55%, YoY respectively. EBITDA margin stayed under pressure mainly due to volatility in commodity prices and rupee depreciation. However, the company has initiated price hikes (~2-5%) to combat high input costs that would benefit it in coming quarters. Further, ad spends returning to normal 4-4.5% level vs. ~5% would help drive EBITDA margins We introduce FY21E estimates & model revenue, earning CAGR of ~14%, 18%, respectively, in FY18-21E. We believe key trigger for topline growth would be sales improvement of its flagship products while profitability would be driven by gross margin recovery.


Outlook


We believe that at the CMP the stock discounts near term positives of lower working capital requirements and positive free cash flows. At the CMP, the stock is trading at 47x FY20E and 38x FY21E earnings. We roll over our valuation on FY21E and value the stock at 40x FY21E earnings with a revised target price of Rs 205.


For all recommendations report, click here


Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts/broking houses/rating agencies on moneycontrol.com are their own, and not that of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.

Read More First Published on Feb 19, 2019 04:54 pm

Monday, February 18, 2019

Yandex (YNDX) Q4 2018 Earnings Conference Call Transcript

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Yandex (NASDAQ:YNDX) Q4 2018 Earnings Conference CallFeb. 15, 2019 8:00 a.m. ET

Contents: Prepared Remarks Questions and Answers Call Participants Prepared Remarks:

Operator

Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for standing by, and welcome to the fourth quarter and full-year 2018 financial results conference call. [Operator instructions] I would now like to hand the conference over to your speakers today. Please go ahead.

Katya Zhukova -- Investor Relations Director

Hello, everyone, and welcome to Yandex's fourth-quarter and full-year 2018 earnings call. We distributed our earnings release earlier today. You can find its copy on our IR website as well as on Newswire services. On the call today, we have Arkady Volozh, our chief executive officer; Mikhail Parakhin, our chief technology officer; Tigran Khudaverdyan, our head of YandexTaxi; and Greg Abovsky, our chief operating and chief financial officer.

Vadim Marchuk, our VP of corporate development, will be available on the Q&A session. The call will be recorded. The recording will be available on the IR website in a few hours. As usual, we prepared a few supplementary slides, which are currently available on the IR website.

Now I will quickly walk you through the safe harbor statements. Various remarks that we make during this call about our future expectations, plans and prospects constitute forward-looking statements. Our actual results may differ materially from those indicated or suggested by the forward-looking statements as a result of various important factors, including those discussed in the Risk Factors section of our Annual Report on Form 20-F dated March 27, 2018, which is on file with the SEC and is available online. In addition, any forward-looking statements represent our views only as of today and should not be relied upon as representing our views as of subsequent date.

Although we may elect to update these forward-looking statements at some point in the future, we specifically disclaim any obligation to do so, even if our views change. Therefore, you should not rely on those forward-looking statements as representing our views as of any date subsequent to today. During this call, we'll be referring to some non-GAAP financial measures. These non-GAAP financial measures are not prepared in accordance with the U.S.

GAAP. A reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures is provided in the earnings release we issued today. And now I'm turning the call over to Arkady.

Arkady Volozh -- Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Katya, and thank you, everyone, for joining us today. I am very pleased to say that 2018 was a truly remarkable year for Yandex. First, we saw a significant acceleration in our revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth rates, this was the highest rate in five years going back to when we were one-fourth of our current size. We also had great results across all of our core business areas, including Search, and we saw very strong progress in a number of our recent important initiatives.

We had a number of key highlights this year, some of which my colleagues will elaborate on in more detail, but from my side, let me briefly highlight just a few. We grew our share on Android to approximately 50%, and we expect that share to continue to grow. We made significant advancements with Alice, our voice assistant, growing the size of its audience, while enhancing and expanding its functionality. We started producing hardware devices this year with Alice embedded in them, such as the Yandex.Station smart speaker, the Yandex.

Auto on board computer for connected cars and our experimental smartphone. We launched Yandex.Eats, which in December, delivered over one million of orders. Yandex.Drive was launched in February of last year and rapidly became the No. 1 car sharing service in Russia, the second largest in Europe and the third largest in the world.

I believe it is well-positioned to enter into international markets. Our ride-sharing business reached breakeven, and our self-driving car division has significantly progressed over the past year. It operates now in two Russian cities, where it drives in a completely autonomous mode without anyone at the driver seat at all. In Q4, we extended our tests to the street of Tel Aviv, and finally, recently in January, we demonstrated our self-driving car at the CES Conference in Vegas.

And as you may have seen in the press at the time, the demonstration blew people away. For many years, since company's inception, we have been following the concept of just one business model. This was focused around Search and online advertising. This model still continues driving our growth of our core business at 20% per year, but today, Yandex is much more than just Search.

At this point, I can say that we've effectively built yet another company on top of the original one. As a shareholder, I am extremely proud to own the stock. And with this, let me hand over to Mikhail Parakhin. Mikhail, over to you.

Mikhail Parakhin -- Chief Technology Officer

Thank you, Arkady, and hello, everyone. We are very pleased with the results we achieved in Q4. Our consolidated revenue, excluding Yandex.Market from both periods, grew 46% year over year. Revenues of the Yandex properties, excluding Yandex.Market from both periods, grew 27% year over year.

Revenues of Yandex ad network grew 16% year over year this quarter. Acceleration of growth rate was due to greater contribution from small- and medium-size partners. We have always worked hard to provide our clients with great targeting technologies and tools to achieve their goals. And we are always delighted to see new successful use cases.

For example, there is an ad campaign of [Inaudible], a popular travel website, brought 140% return on investment in Yandex advertising network. Search and Portal segment demonstrating solid growth in Q4, with revenue in growth rates of 27% year on year. This growth rate was primarily driven by solid performance of Search, mainly as a result of template launches and mobile search share gains as well as by robust growth across other Yandex properties, such as Zen, homepage and images. Sales of hardware devices contributed approximately one percentage point to Search and Portal revenue growth in Q4.

On netback front, templates continued performing well, and we estimate that templates contributed approximately 5% to our Search revenue growth on Mobile and 2.5% on deskstop; experiments with templates is a continuous process, and we will keep unveiling new ad layouts going forward. We continued rolling out Turbo Pages, our analogue of instant articles. Turbo Pages allow websites to significantly increase traffic and time spent on the website as well as decrease bounce rate. Currently, Turbo Pages appear on 50% of search result engine pages on mobile.

In Q4, monetization of Turbo Pages has increased 6 times compared to a year ago. In Q4, the share of mobile traffic reached 49.2% of our total search traffic. Mobile revenues represented 41.4% of our Search revenues. Revenue-to-traffic ratio improved 320 basis points compared to the previous quarter.

To continue the Mobile topic, it is certainly worthwhile mentioning Geo services, providing users with local-based search experience and helping us in bids get online. In Q4, local-based mobile searches grew 30% year over year. Ad App pings in Navigator were shown approximately five billion times. Just recently, we started experimenting with new native ad formats.

Now when a driver stops near a shopping mall or a gas station, we show them a small, but highly relevant ad banner at the bottom of the screen. This is an efficient way to provide drivers with information and to convert online-to-offline traffic for advertisers. It is really impressive the way our Geo services evolved beyond just navigation. Now I can arrive at a gas station, open my Yandex.Navigator app, choose the pump number, gas amount and pay inside the app.

This is extremely helpful during severe winters in Russia. Currently, the service is available on over 1,000 gas stations. Yandex.Taxi drivers can also use this option in their driver app. Turning to recent product launches and updates.

In November, we presented Andromeda, our latest search algorithm update. It further improves personalization of user search experience and helps find answers as quickly as possible. Now we provide increased coverage of in line answers on surf, feature badges for the most relevant and accurate websites and allow users to save searches in visual format in Yandex. Collections.

Collections particularly drew large interest among users. There are already over 100 million carts added by users and are up 500-plus percent year over year. Another great feature that we've been testing for several months now already with chartered business. This is a kind of a messenger that appears right on our search result page and allows users to interact with businesses in a real-time manner, while businesses get a unique opportunity to reach out to users from Yandex.Serve.

The quicker the business responds to a user, the higher the probability that this user converts into a client. Now over one million messages per day already including messages generated through the dialogues with our AI system, Alice. An offline business, which often doesn't have a website can use our chatting tool as well. Turning to Search share dynamics.

In December, our overall Search share reached 56.4%, down 30 basis points compared to the year ago due to the mobile and desktop mix effect. In January, our overall Search share increased to 56.9%. Our Search share on desktop reached 68% in December, gaining 110 bps from September and 70 bps from a year ago. On Mobile, our Search share averaged 47.3%, growing 280 basis points year on year.

Our Search share on Android was 49.4% in December, up 380 basis points versus a year ago. In January, we reached 50.7% on this platform. Our Search share on iOS was 40% in December, down 70 bps compared to September 2018 and up 110 bps from a year ago. While we improve user experience online, our Taxi and related businesses help our customers off-line.

Tigran will walk through these services. Tigran, please go ahead.

Tigran Khudaverdyan -- Head of YandexTaxi

Thank you, Mikhail, and hello, everyone. During the past couple of years, we have been focusing on services that significantly improve user off-line experience, including the ride sharing food, delivery and in the future, autonomous vehicles. 2018 was a truly great year for us. We completed the integration of Yandex and Uber's ride-sharing businesses in Russia and CIS.

We have learnt how to efficiently optimize subsidies without sacrificing growth. This allowed us to achieve profitability on the adjusted EBITDA level in our ride-sharing business in H2 2018. In September, we fulfilled one billionth ride, and we will reach two billion rides sometime this year. We launched our food delivery business and quickly gained significant market share.

We significantly progressed on our self-driving front. Our self-driving car is driving Skolkovo and Innopolis in Russia without a driver at the wheel. We also started testing in Israel and successfully demonstrated our capabilities at this year's CES in Las Vegas. I'm extremely proud of what we have achieved.

Now the details. Full-year revenues of Taxi grew 293% year on year. In Q4, our revenues increased 216%, driven by unit growth and lower subsidies. Adjusted EBITDA loss of the Taxi segment was RUB 129 million in Q4.

Our ride-sharing business was consistently profitable, while the loss was driven by our investments in food delivery and driverless technology. In Q4, the number of rides grew 112% year on year. We believe that our technological expertise in mapping, ride dispatch, dynamic pricing and management of the balance between supply and demand are very important competitive advantages, which are applicable beyond our domestic markets as well. Turning to food delivery.

Yandex. Eats, our food delivery service, has been growing rapidly since its launch in February 2018. In December, the number of orders delivered exceeded 1 million. As of today, we have over 8,000 restaurants.

We mostly rely on our own delivery as it allows us to better control the service quality. We leverage our proprietary technological set to optimize routing and logistics. Since February, we lowered our delivery times from order-to-delivery by 35% to approximately 32 minutes currently. We will continue investing in our food delivery service as we believe that this market has a huge potential, and we are at early stage of this development.

Our self-driving technology is another great testament to our deep expertise in machine learning, navigation, mapping tools and cloud technologies. We are very excited to be at the forefront of driverless technology, which will completely change the way people commute within the next decade. With this, I'm turning the mic over to Greg, who will walk you through the operational performance of business units and our financials.

Greg Abovsky -- Chief Operating and Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Tigran, and thank you all for joining our call today. We delivered another strong quarter. Our consolidated revenue excluding Yandex.Market grew 46% year on year in Q4. Online advertising revenues excluding Yandex.Market increased 25% year on year.

Other revenues grew 235% year on year in Q4, primarily driven by the growth of Yandex.Taxi and to a smaller extent of Yandex.Drive. Total TAC increased 29% year on year and amounted to 15.9% of total revenues, down 130 bps from Q4 '17 and down 40 bps on a sequential basis. Traffic acquisition costs related to partner advertising network grew 24% year on year, mainly reflecting partner and products mix shifts. Traffic acquisition costs related to the distribution partners increased 44% year on year, primarily affected by the growth of Android.

In Q4, distribution tax stood at 7.9% of Yandex properties' revenues, which is 20 basis points higher than in Q3. Turning to our cost structure. In Q4, total OPEX, excluding TAC and D&A, grew 44% year on year. Excluding stock-based comp, operating expenses increased 47%.

The growth is primarily driven by our Taxi and car-sharing businesses. As of December 31, we had 8,767 employees, down 1% compared to September 30. This decrease was mainly due to headcount reclassification, which we implemented to ensure consistency in internal reported. This primarily relates to customer support positions, which we now treat as outsourced labor.

On a year-over-year basis, our headcount was 18% higher. In Q4, our personnel costs amount to 17% of total revenues. Stock-based comp grew 18% year on year in Q4 and constituted 4.2% of revenues. G&A expense in Q4 increased 6% year on year.

Our consolidated adjusted EBITDA, excluding Yandex.Market, grew 38% year on year. This quarter, the impact on FOREX was a gain of RUB 904 million related to the depreciation of the Russian ruble during Q4 from RUB 65.6 to the dollar to RUB 69.5 to the dollar. Adjusted net income was up 32% year over year, and adjusted net income margin was 17.9%. Excluding Yandex.Market, adjusted net income was up 53% from Q4 '17.

Our CAPEX, excluding the one-off effect from the headquarter site acquisition, was 11% of total Q4 revenues, while on an annual basis, our CAPEX-to-revenue ratio was 15%. We expect our CAPEX, excluding expenses related to the new HQ, to be in the low teens as a percent of consolidated revenues in 2019. Just to remind you, in late December, we announced a purchase of the property site for our new Moscow headquarters of approximately 10 acres, situated at Kosygina Street in Moscow. We're very excited with the opportunity to create our own campus in the heart of Moscow.

The acquisition price was $145 million. Turning to the performance of our business units. Search and Portal revenue grew 27% year on year, driven by the growth on our owned and operated properties as well as in partner websites. Adjusted EBITDA in Search and Portal grew 24% year on year in Q4 and it's adjusted EBITDA margin was 43.5% down 100 bps compared with Q4 of last year and down 230 bps compared to the previous quarter.

This decrease was mainly due to the sales of hardware devices as we previously talked to you about. In 2019, we expect margins of Search and Portal to be down 100 to 200 basis points primarily due to sales of hardware devices. Since Tigran has just updated you on the Taxi business, let me turn to Classifieds. Revenue of Classifieds business grew 61% year on year in Q4, primarily driven by revenues from listing fees and VAS, which grew 90% year on year.

Auto.ru continued strengthening its market positions in its core markets. Adjusted EBITDA of Classifieds was negative RUB 18 million in the quarter. Turning to Media Services. In Q4, Media Services revenues were RUB 679 million and grew 69% year on year, primarily driven by subscription services, video advertising and to a smaller extent by commissions from ticket sales.

Media Services adjusted EBITDA loss was negative RUB 215 million and mainly reflected the growth of advertising and marketing costs, our continuing investments in content and product development. KinoPoisk keeps expanding its content library, which currently includes over 5,000 movies and TV shows available by subscription. In Q4, KinoPoisk launched premium subscription in partnership with Amediateka, the exclusive distributor of HBO content in Russia. On the Experiments front.

In Q4, revenues of Experiments primarily represented by Yandex.Drive, Zen, and Cloud reached RUB 1.2 billion, led by Yandex.Drive and Zen. Adjusted EBITDA loss of Experiments was RUB 665 million, primarily due to our investments in Yandex.Drive and Yandex.Cloud. The Yandex.Drive maintained its leading position with total fleet of 8,000 cars and over 11 million rides completed since launch. In Q4, we extended Yandex.Drive to St.

Pete, where we also became the market leader. In December, we introduced our car-sharing service in the cargo segment. Our personalized content feed service, Yandex.Zen, continues actively developing its publisher content platform, which currently generates over 50% of Zen's feed content. According to recent operators data, monthly audience of Zen reached over 39 million people, while time spent averaged approximately 35 minutes per day.

Number of daily unique users reached 9.5 million, while number of visitors and devices exceeded 15 million on a daily basis. In late December, Zen become available to users of Opera desktop browser in Russia. Zen's annualized revenue run rate was RUB 5.9 billion in December. Moving on to Yandex.Market, which we no longer consolidate in our financial results.

In Q4, revenues of Yandex.Market on a like-for-like basis grew 136%, mainly driven by the marketplace launches as well as solid performance in price compression service. Adjusted EBITDA loss at Yandex.Market was RUB 1.3 billion in Q4, reflecting our investments in both food delivery and marketing expenses, primarily related to the launch of the Beru marketplace. In Q4, our marketplace Beru came out of data with 15 shopping categories and 100,000 SKUs. In November, we introduced first Beru-operated fulfillment center in the Rostov region to ramp up fast delivery across the southern part of Russia.

In addition, Yandex.Market launched its cross-border marketplace, Bringly. Getting back to corporate matters. We ended the quarter with approximately RUB 68.8 billion in cash and equivalents, which is approximately $990 million with the exchange rate as of December 31. This includes the cash of Yandex.Taxi, which amounted to RUB 27 billion.

Cash and equivalents of Yandex.Market are approximately RUB 29.1 billion are not included in the consolidated results of Yandex N.V. In December, we repaid in full the amount of convertible senior notes in the face amount of RUB 321 million. Turning to guidance. Based on the recent solid performance, we provide an early outlook for the Search and Portal business to be in the range of 18% to 20% year over year in 2019.

Excluding Yandex.Market from 2018 results, we expect our total revenues to grow 28% to 32% in 2019 compared with 2018. With this, I'm turning the mic over to the operator for the Q&A session. 

Questions and Answers:

Operator

Thank you. [Operator instructions] Your first question comes from the line of Lloyd Walmsley of Deutsche Bank. Please ask your question.

Lloyd Walmsley -- Deutsche Bank -- Analyst

Thank you. I have two, if I can. First, just on templates. It sounds like it's really starting to move the needle on revenue.

Wondering if that contribution is mostly helping O&O or if that's also part of the network strength? And can you kind of talk about the timing of that inflection point? Was it really kind of a 4Q event? Because you all have been downplaying the impact to somewhat to revenue. So it sounds like a bit of a change in tone there. And then the second question would just be on kind of scaling the robo-taxi business. Can you talk about what your plans are this year? And what really needs to happen from a technical standpoint, operationally, from a compliance kind of regulatory perspective, to really scale that business in Russia or any other markets, I guess, around the world?

Mikhail Parakhin -- Chief Technology Officer

Mikhail, sure, I'm going to take the first one and then maybe Greg will take the second one. So on templates, as we repeatedly said, templates are not like a one thing, right? It's a constant work in progress where we release new bids every month essentially. So as you correctly pointed out, in accumulation, you could see already the impact quite a bit, and we're going to continue rolling out new templates going forward. This is -- so templates is mainly search result, so it's search only, it's not Yan.

They do not impact Yan results.

Greg Abovsky -- Chief Operating and Chief Financial Officer

Hey, Lloyd. And on self-driving cars, what I would say is, we're still very much in the investment phase. We're looking to ramp up the fleet of vehicles that we will be deploying, mostly in development and test mode. I'm not sure there's going to be a whole lot of live deployment such as the one you saw with Innopolis and Skolkovo, but we will look to ramp those up as well.

Overall, I'd say we're extremely bullish by the technology that we have created around self driving, and we think that obviously, over the long term, this is definitely the future of transportation. And we want to be one of the companies globally that's at the forefront of this innovation.

Lloyd Walmsley -- Deutsche Bank -- Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Miriam Adisa of Morgan Stanley. Please ask your question.

Miriam Adisa -- Morgan Stanley -- Analyst

Hi. Good morning, everyone. Two questions from me. Just firstly, on the Search guidance of 18% to 20%, just wondering how much of an impact from smart speakers is baked into that, as that looks rather conservative sort of based on the guidance, the margins deteriorate by up to 200 bps? And then secondly, on Taxi.

Based on the current structure, it looks like you can reach profitability in Q1 this year. Is that a fair statement? Or is there any reason assisting why that wouldn't be the case?

Greg Abovsky -- Chief Operating and Chief Financial Officer

Hey, Miriam, it's Greg, let me try to take them one by one. On the Search and Portal, so what we've said is, we expect that the margins will be down about 100 to 200 basis points in the Search and Portal segment. Obviously, the revenues are also in that 18% to 20% guidance a little bit of them in there. Given that they are either done at breakeven or even the slight loss, they have quite an impact.

And then the rest of the margin compression is just a result of the fact that we continue to invest in new products, right? The Search business has very natural operating leverage. And every year, we reinvest that operating leverage back into important products that the team develops, whether it's the Alice intelligent voice assistant, the Collections that Mikhail was just talking about, the chats with businesses that we recently rolled out, the neighborhood, social network that we are currently deploying, so on and so forth. All of those require investments, all of those require investment in people, first and foremost. And so what we like to do is, we like to maintain this kind of high-teens, low-20s types of growth rates in the Search portal over the long term and that requires coming up with new things constantly rather than just focusing on search and search only.

Hopefully, that answers your question about the guidance? On the Taxi front, just as a reminder, within the Taxi segment, you have sort of four different buckets, if you will. You have Russia or Russia CIS ride-sharing business, which is profitable -- increasingly profitable, I would add, over the last few quarters, and we expect it to keep getting better and better. It includes sort of the emerging countries where we launched service recently and obviously, many of those are loss making, and we're still kind of in the investment phase there. It also includes the self-driving business that I just talked about in response to Lloyd's question.

And finally, it includes the Eats segment. Eats is a new business -- relatively new business for us. We started in food delivery in December 2017. And only the course of a year, we grew the size of that business to 10 times and are now a significant and important player in this business.

We think that food delivery is a very attractive part of the business, and we'll continue to invest in it. So net of that is we expect that the losses in the segment will moderate in 2019, driven by very healthy economics in the core Russian CIS segments, offset by investments in earlier stage undertakings.

Miriam Adisa -- Morgan Stanley -- Analyst

That's helpful. Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Slava Degtyarev of Goldman Sachs. Please ask your question.

Slava Degtyarev -- Goldman Sachs -- Analyst

Hi. Thanks for the call. Also couple of questions. Firstly, can you comment on the Taxi gross bookings dynamics or if possible disclose some of the basically recent run rate for the Taxi business? And the second question is, maybe you can comment on the advertiser behavior by the key subsegments at the beginning of the year? Do you see directly or maybe indirectly the effect from the increase in value-added tax started from January this year? Thank you.

Tigran Khudaverdyan -- Head of YandexTaxi

Hello, this is Tigran. CEO of Yandex Taxi, may I take this question? So gross bookings are -- so let's start from rides. Rides are growing 112% year over year in Q4. The gross bookings generally annualized run rate reached USD 4.2 billion based on December.

Let's keep in mind, please, that December is high season. And so taking -- talking about gross revenues. This grew 170% year over year in Q4. This is a slight slow down from 200% growth rate last quarter.

And also, we are continuing optimizing subsidies. They declined as a percent of gross revenues and in absolute terms also.

Mikhail Parakhin -- Chief Technology Officer

Hey, Mikhail here for the advertiser's question. So -- well, we just gave the outlook on Search and Portal revenue growth, 18% to 20%. So that sort of reflects of what we see right now and basically, what -- how we see the business. We will give update on trends probably in April.

So far, we see that our key advertising category is continuing to grow well. The top is auto, finance, eating out, there are IT, there are all growing at healthy double-digit, 30%, 40% range.

Slava Degtyarev -- Goldman Sachs -- Analyst

OK. Thank you very much.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Cesar Tiron of Bank of America. Please ask your question.

Cesar Tiron -- Bank of America Merrill Lynch -- Analyst

Hi, everyone. Thanks for the call and the opportunity to ask questions. I have three questions if that's OK. The first one, I just wanted to clarify on the margins for our core search in 2019.

Do you expect those to trend down? Second question is on food delivery. Is it fair to say that we're seeing some rationalization in the market? It looks like subsidies are being reduced, and you're now charging for deliveries in Moscow. And then the third question would be on potential regulation for Taxi. I mean, I think there were some proposals, for example, to ban foreigners to drive taxes and few other things if you can clarify.

Thank you so much.

Greg Abovsky -- Chief Operating and Chief Financial Officer

Hey, Cesar, let me try to take these. On margins, I think, we've sort of said everything that there is to say, which is we expect that they will be down about 100 to 200 basis points driven almost entirely, if not entirely, by sales of hardware devices. Whereas, the national operating leverage of the core Search gets reinvested in new products that we just named or new ones that will launch over the course of the year. So there is not much to add on that front.

On food delivery, I think it's early to draw conclusions whether or not this market is rationalizing or not. We have been extremely disciplined in terms of our pace of investment in this segment. And so far, well, I think we've achieved very significant results without sort of irrational exuberance in this segment. With respect to delivery fees, yes, we do introduce them from time to time and what -- we tested them out, but our primary focus is on product, which means that, gets -- getting the click to eat time down to -- this is 30 minutes or so is that consumers in the Western world are sort of used too.

As you know, historically, delivery times for Russian restaurants were an hour or more, which is just completely different type of experience. I would draw the parallel to calling up a taxi aggregator company back five, six years ago and having to wait 45 minutes for a taxi. Now you open up your Yandex.Taxi app and within three, four minutes, there is a car waiting for you of any type, class, size, whatever you want. So it's quite an investment that you need to make, but it's also quite a difference in product that consumers are really appreciate.

And then finally, on regulation. Look, I'd say is that we're in constant dialogue with regulators kind of regarding a wide array of questions that come up. And it covers sort of many different aspects of the business both ride-sharing, news aggregation and so on. I think our position is consistently to be in a constructive dialogue with its regulators.

We're sometimes sort of at the forefront of regulation working with other industry participants to introduce new regulation that is beneficial for everyone. I kind of draw your attention to the video anti-piracy memorandum that was signed in Q4 in early November, where Yandex together with other Internet players such as Mail and Rambler got together with the media companies, the guest-run medias, the -- and MGs of the world Channel Ones and so on and signed a memorandum, which has drastically cut the amount of video piracy that is accessible on the Russian Internet. So I think, that that's certainly a very legitimate approach to regulation, which is trying to identify problems that come up from time to time and trying to introduce kind of self-regulatory mechanisms that address the concerns of all the parties involved.

Cesar Tiron -- Bank of America Merrill Lynch -- Analyst

Very clear. Thank you.

Greg Abovsky -- Chief Operating and Chief Financial Officer

Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Maria Kahn with HSBC. Please ask your question.

Maria Kahn -- HSBC -- Analyst

Hi. Thank you so much for the opportunity. Just wanted to ask the take-up of your Cloud business? And that's probably number one question. And second question, I think, investors would be interested to hear what you're doing in terms of addressing the single-person risk in your shareholder structure? Thank you.

Mikhail Parakhin -- Chief Technology Officer

Hey, Mikhail here, on the cloud question. So overall, I'm delighted with how Cloud is progressing. We rolled out our public usage in December of 2018. So it's a bit early to be able to estimate the rates of growth.

Overall, we have 50,000 registered users right now and 10,000, which are active. We added -- we're continually adding new services, just recently added like five services in the last week and things like reddit-based managed service and datarent, our data visualization tool. Of course, all of them are available on serves located in Russia. So right now, all I would say it performs in line with what we would expect.

Greg Abovsky -- Chief Operating and Chief Financial Officer

Maria, it's Greg, and on the second question. Look, I don't think there is anything kind of new to add to the statements we've made in the past, which is to say that the board's committed to good corporate governance and it kind of evaluates any potential steps toward achieving optimal capital or government structure of the groups or its subsidiaries. And obviously, the long-term view is to protect the long-term interest of the company and all of the stakeholders. So there is not much to add to what we said before.

Maria Kahn -- HSBC -- Analyst

OK, OK. Very clear. Thank you so much.

Greg Abovsky -- Chief Operating and Chief Financial Officer

Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Ulyana Lenvalskaya of UBS. Please ask your question.

Ulyana Lenvalskaya -- UBS -- Analyst

Hi, everyone, and congratulations on a very strong quarter. The first question will be on the car sharing. Can you if possible disclose the number of cars you currently have? And also, the regional strategy, like how big is this business in Moscow versus regions and plans about the potential expansion outside of Russia?

Greg Abovsky -- Chief Operating and Chief Financial Officer

Ulyana, it's Greg. On drive, I think, it currently has about 8,000 cars. We're adding a lot of cars every single month. Of the cars, almost all of them with the exception of roughly 1,000 are in Moscow.

We've expanded the services to St. Petersburg back in December, where we very quickly became the largest player there. We are looking to expand the service to other cities within Russia. And we're also evaluating opportunities for international expansion of Yandex.Drive.

I think the achievements that this team has demonstrated are remarkable, driven by their single-minded focus on product, which is quite unique in the marketplace. So we're very excited with the prospects.

Ulyana Lenvalskaya -- UBS -- Analyst

Yes. I agree the achievements are truly remarkable. In that sense, the business really becomes bigger, so you can see there to start reporting it separately outside of Experiments?

Greg Abovsky -- Chief Operating and Chief Financial Officer

Absolutely, I think. We constantly look for how to provide optimal level of disclosure to our shareholders. And I think generally speaking sort of at the forefront of transparency, and we always want to give you guys more information about how we make investment decisions and providing more disclosure around drive is certainly one way of achieving that.

Ulyana Lenvalskaya -- UBS -- Analyst

Thank you. And if I may, just, again, to quantify on the stability outlook. So with the core business, it's very clear, the guidance is straightforward. Taxi, you said that loss should be smaller year on year, but it is still a loss, right? And then how about the Classifieds and Media Services? Should we expect the losses to stay there during 2019?

Greg Abovsky -- Chief Operating and Chief Financial Officer

Sure. So I won't cover for the Search and Portal and Taxi, since I think you got those covered. On Classifieds, our strategy is unchanged from the previous year, which is, we expect a very robust growth in Classifieds as we are increasingly taking share away from the leading competitor there in the regions, and we will continue to reinvest all of the incremental revenues back in the business as we sort of turbocharge this segment. And with respect -- so I assume that it kind of operates at more or less breakeven, maybe slight positive, maybe slight negative depending in kind of the pacings of the business.

On Media Services, we will invest slightly more this year as compared to last year as we invest more in content. And as we look to grow our subscription base of Yandex.Music subscribers as well as video service subscribers.

Ulyana Lenvalskaya -- UBS -- Analyst

Thank you. And just final. On music, can you disclose the number of users you currently have?

Greg Abovsky -- Chief Operating and Chief Financial Officer

I don't think we've disclosed it yet, but it's tracking nicely. I should say, we haven't disclosed recently since we've disclosed it in the past, but it continues to grow month on month and hopefully year on year.

Ulyana Lenvalskaya -- UBS -- Analyst

Thanks.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Sebastian Patulea of Jefferies. Please ask your question.

Sebastian Patulea -- Jefferies -- Analyst

Hello, everyone, Sebastian from Jefferies here. I've got two questions, please. Firstly, we've seen an interview with one of your main competitors in the taxi vertical in Russia saying that they are open to the idea of selling that business. I realize this topic is sensitive, but would you be opened for further consolidation? And -- or do you believe that now you've achieved the necessary scale to grow organically and profitably for the foreseeable future? That's the first one.

And the second question still regarding Yandex.Taxi, global ride-hailing companies are pivoting more and more toward the strategy of last mile mobility and one of collaboration with two of your operators. For example, as you know, [Inaudible] recommending bus or train routes. These give the user at the destination both faster and cheaper everything within the same app. So with Moscow being one of the most congested cities in the world, do you guys see any benefit to go through this strategic shift yourselves? And if so, what are the opportunities here?

Greg Abovsky -- Chief Operating and Chief Financial Officer

Sure, Sebastian. First of all, on your second question with last mile mobility, I think that's an excellent question. And one of the remarkable things that the Department of Transportation has done in Moscow is three or four years ago, they introduced regulation which really enables car-sharing initiatives. I think Bloomberg just did a story about this last week, which was very interesting.

What they're doing is, they are allowing for car-sharing vehicles to pay lower parking rates than normal cars. And so what that has done is, it made Moscow of the largest car-sharing market in the world. While bikes and scooters are sort of one aspect of the last mile mobility, I would say Yandex.Drive is kind of an important participant in this space given kind of the weather conditions and the fact that bikes or scooters are probably not the best ways of getting around 250 days of the year or maybe slightly less than that. But we're also looking to integrate our offerings with Yandex.Transport, which provides a live information about the movements of buses, trams and so on throughout the city, and we're looking to see if we can integrate it even further within Yandex.Taxi.

On the question of M&A, look, we obviously don't comment on speculation or market rumors about consolidation. I think the business is in excellent shape and grows strongly organically and is improving its margin profile domestically. So there's not much to add.

Sebastian Patulea -- Jefferies -- Analyst

Thank you very much.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Alexander Vengranovich of Sova Capital. Please ask your questions.

Alexander Vengranovich -- SOVA Capital -- Analyst

Hi. So two questions from my side. So first, again, on Taxi. One of your competitors, Citymobil, is actually expanding in Moscow market.

And just wanted to understand whether you see any rising competition from their side? And in the case, they become like more aggressive, how do you plan to handle this situation? Do you think you might continue further shrink the subsidies or drivers in this environment? That's the first question. And the second question is regarding your office. So have you already estimated total construction costs? And when do you plan to start building the new headquarters? So how should we plan the impact of that construction in your financial results? Thank you.

Greg Abovsky -- Chief Operating and Chief Financial Officer

Hi, Alexander. On competitive front, I think that the overall market is to the benefit of the consumer, right? What ride-sharing enables is, it allows consumers to summon a car at the push of a button within a few minutes and get from point A to point B at extremely competitive rates. And so our single-minded focus is on investing in the product and providing the best consumer experience. That's what we worry about.

And from that point of view I'd say, we've done extremely well in terms of growing the number of rides, in terms of growing GMV's and increasing the utilization rates for drivers, which is an extremely important metric to keep in mind, right? The thing that matters most for drivers is how much earnings do they generate per hour. And we basically use all of our expertise in machine learning and artificial intelligence to increase the utilization rates for those drivers and maximize their earnings per hour. And this is, I think, really were kind of the strength of the Yandex ecosystem bears its fruit. On the question of the office, I don't think we're in a position to provide any meaningful updates to you other than to remind you that the office lease for our main office runs through the end of 2021, and obviously, we'd love to start migrating to a new facility at some point in 2022.

Alexander Vengranovich -- SOVA Capital -- Analyst

OK. Just a quick clarification then on the office side. Do you already include any costs associated with the construction in the '19 guidance?

Greg Abovsky -- Chief Operating and Chief Financial Officer

We would break out those separately.

Alexander Vengranovich -- SOVA Capital -- Analyst

OK. Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Vladimir Bespalov of VTB Capital. Please ask your question.

Vladimir Bespalov -- VTB Capital -- Analyst

Hello. Thank you for taking my question. Congratulations on the results. My first question would be on your hardware initiatives.

You are increasingly moving into this area and probably it gives you another angle to look at your technology and for license with clients. Maybe you could share what you learned from developing this initiative. And what probably would be the next steps? Are you going to do something in this area, for example, the -- in the autonomous drive technology? And one more question I have on Media Services. We have heard quite a lot of news on different developments starting from the illegal [Inaudible] contract, some content products, but maybe you could give in a more strategic way the outlook where this Media Services is develop -- how this Media Services is developing where it's heading and what you see, let's say, in two, three years with this vertical?

Mikhail Parakhin -- Chief Technology Officer

Hi, Mikhail here. I'm going to take the first one. Well, what we learned? We learned that hard and hardware is there for a reason. It actually turned out to be surprisingly nonobvious where the pitfalls might be, and we learned a lot about difficulties of manufacturing and even things like you would think that nothing can go wrong and then something definitely goes wrong.

We learned to overcome those. Long term, we don't really disclose our plans, but we are super committed to growing all kinds of digital assistance and smart home presence. We, of course, would prefer not to become a hardware company. We prefer to stay on software side, but if we need to do something to grow the market, we will.

We're still, I would say, in a learning curve period where we sort of manage to overcome manufacturing and now learning to sell things.

Greg Abovsky -- Chief Operating and Chief Financial Officer

Hi, Vladimir. On your question with respect to Media Services, look, our strategy there is focused on kind of three main pillars, subscription music, where we aim to be one of the leading players in this field. We compete with Apple Music and VK to some extent. But our focus is in sort of providing the best consumer experience on creating really compelling playlist for consumers to listen to and for them to have a reason to comeback to the service.

On the video side, look, it's not a secret that consumers tend to watch a lot of video online from -- sometimes it's short-form content, sometimes it's a long-form content. And then we respect kind of our own content creation, let's say, creating our own content is not a goal in itself. The goal is to provide consumers with what they want to watch. We're happy to partner with content owners, but in some cases, the content that we need is either not available on the market or at prices that are not reasonable.

And so in those instances we would look to create our own and go into content production. But look, in an ideal world, obviously, we're happy to partner with content owners, happy not to invest into content production on our own. What we provide is obviously robust monetization opportunities driven by advertising or subscription services we'll provide as a powerful distribution platform, we provide data analytics, obviously. And we provide the physical infrastructure to stream all that content, which we have enhanced.

And then sort of last pillar of Media Services is on ticketing. And over the last year, we have made a real push into ticketing services, initially was focused on movies, but increasingly it's focused on concerts and also on being able to provide sort of end-to-end services to artists, which include ticketing, promotion and subscription sales for music and driving more and more consumers to listen to their content. So I think, all of those things combined make us bullish on Media Services and make us want to invest in this business more.

Vladimir Bespalov -- VTB Capital -- Analyst

OK. Thank you very much.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Alexander Vengranovich of Sova Capital. Please ask your question.

Alexander Vengranovich -- SOVA Capital -- Analyst

Yes. Thanks again. So a quick question. So I've noticed you have quite a substantial increase of your distribution TAC in the fourth quarter.

I think it was up 44% year over year. Can you please provide the reason behind that growth? Thank you.

Mikhail Parakhin -- Chief Technology Officer

Sure. Mikhail here. So while you might have noticed that our share on Mobile and especially on Android grew significantly, and also last year, we were able to get much better placements on OEM distribution deals. And of course, that provided an upward pressure on distribution TAC.

And some of the changes were quite large like even if you take Huawei, where we were likely to get very good installation configuration in first screen, they -- their sales grew from 15% in December of 2017 to 38% in December 2018, quite a large shift in that market. So going forward, we still can expect distribution TAC to grow somewhat. We would say next year it might go as high as maybe 100 basis points up from Q4.

Greg Abovsky -- Chief Operating and Chief Financial Officer

I would just add that those increases in TAC have been fairly modest. If you look at full-year 2018 compared to full-year 2017, TAC has gone up a bit, will go up a bit more in 2019, but it'll also come with increased Android share, which we're obviously very excited about.

Alexander Vengranovich -- SOVA Capital -- Analyst

OK.

Operator

We have no further questions at this time.

Katya Zhukova -- Investor Relations Director

Thank you so much for joining our call today. We hope to see you back on our Q1 [Audio gap].

Operator

[Operator signoff]

Duration: 60 minutes

Call Participants:

Katya Zhukova -- Investor Relations Director

Arkady Volozh -- Chief Executive Officer

Mikhail Parakhin -- Chief Technology Officer

Tigran Khudaverdyan -- Head of YandexTaxi

Greg Abovsky -- Chief Operating and Chief Financial Officer

Lloyd Walmsley -- Deutsche Bank -- Analyst

Miriam Adisa -- Morgan Stanley -- Analyst

Slava Degtyarev -- Goldman Sachs -- Analyst

Cesar Tiron -- Bank of America Merrill Lynch -- Analyst

Maria Kahn -- HSBC -- Analyst

Ulyana Lenvalskaya -- UBS -- Analyst

Sebastian Patulea -- Jefferies -- Analyst

Alexander Vengranovich -- SOVA Capital -- Analyst

Vladimir Bespalov -- VTB Capital -- Analyst

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